Beyond the Ballot: The Impact of Voting Margin and Turnout on the Legitimacy of Referendum Outcomes in Europe

IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Political Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI:10.1177/00323217241266025
Sveinung Arnesen, T. S. Broderstad, M. Johannesson, Jonas Linde
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Abstract

This study delves into the criteria under which referendums can legitimise political choices. It employs survey experiments regarding EU membership across seven European nations, focusing on variations in referendum outcomes, majority margins and voter participation. The empirical results reveal a consistent pattern of legitimacy attributed to referendums, emphasising the influence of majority margin and voter turnout. It also uncovers the critical role of status quo bias on outcome favorability and the apprehension regarding false majorities in shaping public acceptance of referendums. This research contributes to understanding the mechanisms by which democratic procedures legitimise political decisions, revealing the nuanced role of referendums in democratic governance.
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选票之外:投票差额和投票率对欧洲全民公决结果合法性的影响
本研究深入探讨了全民公决使政治选择合法化的标准。研究采用了有关七个欧洲国家加入欧盟的调查实验,重点关注全民公决结果、多数差额和选民参与的变化。实证结果揭示了公投合法性的一致模式,强调了多数差额和投票率的影响。研究还揭示了维持现状的偏见对全民公决结果支持率的关键作用,以及对虚假多数的担忧对公众接受全民公决的影响。这项研究有助于理解民主程序使政治决策合法化的机制,揭示全民投票在民主治理中的微妙作用。
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来源期刊
Political Studies
Political Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
3.20%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: Political Studies is a leading international journal committed to the very highest standards of peer review that publishes academically rigorous and original work in all fields of politics and international relations. The editors encourage a pluralistic approach to political science and debate across the discipline. Political Studies aims to develop the most promising new work available and to facilitate professional communication in political science.
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