Small-sample properties of robust willingness-to-pay estimators

Dayton M. Lambert
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Abstract

The small-sample properties of robust, binary choice willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimators are analyzed. A Monte Carlo simulation compares the bias and mean-squared error of marginal and expected WTP estimates from probit, zero-centered t ν ${t}_{{\nu }}$ (“robit”), logit, and a generalized Tukey lambda distribution called a “pregibit” regression under normal and nonnormal distributional assumptions. Robust binary choice estimators allow for variation in tail thickness (the robit and pregibit) or tail asymmetry (the pregibit). No previous studies have compared the performance of these WTP estimators. The findings will interest researchers who use contingent validation methods to estimate WTP for nonmarket or hypothetical goods.

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稳健支付意愿估算器的小样本特性
分析了稳健的二元选择支付意愿(WTP)估算值的小样本特性。通过蒙特卡罗模拟,比较了在正态分布和非正态分布假设下,probit、零中心("robit")、logit 和称为 "pregibit "的广义 Tukey lambda 分布回归得出的边际 WTP 估计值和预期 WTP 估计值的偏差和均方误差。稳健的二元选择估计器允许尾部厚度变化(robit 和 pregibit)或尾部不对称(pregibit)。以前没有研究比较过这些 WTP 估计器的性能。这些研究结果将引起使用或然验证方法估算非市场或假设商品 WTP 的研究人员的兴趣。
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