Characterising the killing of girls and women in urban settings in Latin America, 2000–2019: an analysis of variability and time trends using mortality data from vital registration systems

B. Trejo, Yvonne L. Michael, Ana V. Diez Roux, Brisa N. Sánchez, Nina Sun, Heidi Stöckl, Dèsirée Vidaña-Pérez, Catalina Correa-Salazar, A. Ortigoza, A. A. de Lima Friche, Vanessa DiCecco, Mónica Mazariegos, U. Bilal
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Abstract

Latin America is burdened by high levels of violence. Although boys and men often experience more violence and fatalities, girls and women face a greater risk of being killed by family members or intimate partners due to their gender, a phenomenon known as femicide. Our study estimates femicide rates in Latin America across age groups, examining city-level variations and temporal trends.Utilising data from theSalud Urbana en America Latinaproject, we analysed mortality data from 343 cities in nine countries between 2000 and 2019. We calculate the variability between and within countries using data from 2015 to 2019. We then describe time trends using femicide counts by year and city and fitting a three-level negative binomial model with a random intercept for country, fixed effects for age categories, and city-level and country-level random slopes for time (scaled to decades). Finally, we assess longitudinal time trends by age by including an interaction term for age and time (scaled to decades).Our results highlight substantial heterogeneity in femicide rates within and between countries. Additionally, we find that women 15–29 and 30–44 years of age experience the highest femicide rates across all countries. While our findings suggest a slight decline in femicide rates per additional decade (RR 0.95, 95% CI: 0.74 to 1.24) between 2000 and 2019, the trends diverge in different countries, suggesting increasing rates in some countries like Mexico. Age-specific trends suggest the persistence of higher rates among women 15–29 and 30–44 years of age over time.We underscore the need to consider gender dynamics in understanding and preventing femicides, focusing on city-level interventions to address the multifaceted causes of violence against girls and women in the region.
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2000-2019 年拉丁美洲城市环境中杀害女童和妇女的特点:利用生命登记系统的死亡率数据分析变异性和时间趋势
拉丁美洲暴力事件频发。虽然男孩和男人往往遭受更多的暴力侵害和死亡,但女孩和妇女因其性别而面临被家庭成员或亲密伴侣杀害的更大风险,这种现象被称为杀戮女性。我们的研究估算了拉丁美洲各年龄组的杀戮女性率,研究了城市层面的差异和时间趋势。利用拉丁美洲城市研究项目(Salud Urbana en America Latin)的数据,我们分析了九个国家 343 个城市在 2000 年至 2019 年期间的死亡率数据。我们利用 2015 年至 2019 年的数据计算了国家之间和国家内部的变异性。然后,我们使用按年份和城市分列的杀戮女性人数来描述时间趋势,并拟合了一个三级负二叉模型,其中国家为随机截距,年龄类别为固定效应,城市级和国家级时间为随机斜率(缩放为几十年)。最后,我们通过加入年龄与时间的交互项(以十年为单位)来评估各年龄段的纵向时间趋势。此外,我们还发现,在所有国家中,15-29 岁和 30-44 岁女性的杀戮女性比率最高。虽然我们的研究结果表明,在 2000 年至 2019 年期间,杀戮女性比率每增加 10 年就会略有下降(RR 0.95,95% CI:0.74 至 1.24),但不同国家的趋势却不尽相同,这表明墨西哥等一些国家的杀戮女性比率在上升。我们强调,在了解和预防杀戮女性事件时需要考虑性别动态,重点关注城市一级的干预措施,以解决该地区暴力侵害女童和妇女的多方面原因。
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