Spatial and Temporal Variation of Subway Ridership before and during the COVID-19 Period in Beijing

Chengshuai Liu, Hui He, Peng Chen
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Abstract

The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019 caused a huge impact on people’s lives. Uncovering the variation of public traffic daily patterns during the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods would help interpret the impact of the pandemic on people’s routine activity and promote the sustainable development of public transport systems. By collecting subway traffic data during the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods in Beijing, China, this paper analyzes the spatial and temporal variation of subway ridership and seeks to find out what sort of environment variables related to the variation of subway ridership during the two periods. The results show that the ridership of Beijing subway during the pandemic period decreased by 91.69% compared with the pre-pandemic period. On working days and non-working days during the pandemic period, the subway stations experiencing huge ridership reductions were mainly distributed within the core urban areas, while in the morning peak hours, the stations experiencing huge ridership reduction were located within suburban areas. The origin-destination stations with a large decrease in ridership were mainly distributed along the central to northern directions of Beijing but, on non-working days, they were mainly distributed along the central to northwestern directions of Beijing. The results of the regression analysis indicated that, during the pandemic period, the industrial parks were significantly positively correlated with subway ridership, while the pedestrian road network density was significantly negatively correlated with subway ridership.
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COVID-19 之前和期间北京地铁乘客量的时空变化
2019 年爆发的 COVID-19 对人们的生活造成了巨大影响。揭示疫情爆发前和疫情爆发期间公共交通日常模式的变化,有助于解读疫情对人们日常活动的影响,促进公共交通系统的可持续发展。本文通过收集大流行前和大流行期间中国北京的地铁交通数据,分析了地铁乘客量的时空变化,并试图找出这两个时期地铁乘客量变化与哪些环境变量有关。结果表明,与疫情发生前相比,疫情发生期间北京地铁乘客量减少了 91.69%。在大流行期间的工作日和非工作日,乘客量大幅减少的地铁站主要分布在核心城区,而在早高峰时段,乘客量大幅减少的地铁站主要分布在郊区。客流下降幅度较大的始发站主要分布在北京中北部,而非工作日则主要分布在北京中西北部。回归分析结果表明,大流行期间,工业园区与地铁客流呈显著正相关,而步行路网密度与地铁客流呈显著负相关。
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