Analysis of Longitudinal Patterns and Predictors of Medicine Use in Residential Aged Care Using Group-Based Trajectory Modeling: The "MEDTRAC-Cardiovascular" Longitudinal Cohort Study.
Nasir Wabe, Andrea Timothy, Rachel Urwin, Ying Xu, Amy Nguyen, Johanna I Westbrook
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Aim: Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death globally. Ensuring ongoing use of medicines-medication persistence-is crucial, yet no prior studies have examined this in residential aged care facilities (RACFs). We aimed to identify long-term trajectories of persistence with cardiovascular medicines and determine predictors of persistence trajectories.
Method: A longitudinal cohort study of 2837 newly admitted permanent residents from 30 RACFs in New South Wales, Australia. We monitored weekly exposure to six cardiovascular medicine classes-lipid modifiers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEI/ARBs), beta-blockers, diuretics, calcium channel blockers (CCB), and cardiac therapy-over 3 years. Group-based trajectory modeling was employed to determine persistence trajectories for each class.
Results: At baseline, 76.6% (n = 2172) received at least one cardiovascular medicine with 41.2% receiving lipid modifiers, 31.4% ACEI/ARBs, 30.2% beta-blockers, 24.4% diuretics, 18.7% CCBs, and 14.8% cardiac therapy. The model identified two persistence trajectories for CCBs and three trajectories for all other classes. Sustained high persistence rates ranged from 68.4% (ACEI/ARBs) to 79.8% (beta-blockers) while early decline in persistence and subsequent discontinuation rates ranged from 7.6% (cardiac therapy) to 25.3% (CCBs). Logistic regressions identified 11 predictors of a declining persistence across the six medicine classes.
Conclusion: Our study revealed varied patterns of cardiovascular medicine use in RACFs, with 2-3 distinctive medicine use trajectories across different classes, each exhibiting a unique clinical profile, and up to a quarter of residents discontinuing a medicine class. Future studies should explore the underlying reasons and appropriateness of nonpersistence to aid in identifying areas for improvement.
期刊介绍：
The aim of Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety is to provide an international forum for the communication and evaluation of data, methods and opinion in the discipline of pharmacoepidemiology. The Journal publishes peer-reviewed reports of original research, invited reviews and a variety of guest editorials and commentaries embracing scientific, medical, statistical, legal and economic aspects of pharmacoepidemiology and post-marketing surveillance of drug safety. Appropriate material in these categories may also be considered for publication as a Brief Report.
Particular areas of interest include:
design, analysis, results, and interpretation of studies looking at the benefit or safety of specific pharmaceuticals, biologics, or medical devices, including studies in pharmacovigilance, postmarketing surveillance, pharmacoeconomics, patient safety, molecular pharmacoepidemiology, or any other study within the broad field of pharmacoepidemiology;
comparative effectiveness research relating to pharmaceuticals, biologics, and medical devices. Comparative effectiveness research is the generation and synthesis of evidence that compares the benefits and harms of alternative methods to prevent, diagnose, treat, and monitor a clinical condition, as these methods are truly used in the real world;
methodologic contributions of relevance to pharmacoepidemiology, whether original contributions, reviews of existing methods, or tutorials for how to apply the methods of pharmacoepidemiology;
assessments of harm versus benefit in drug therapy;
patterns of drug utilization;
relationships between pharmacoepidemiology and the formulation and interpretation of regulatory guidelines;
evaluations of risk management plans and programmes relating to pharmaceuticals, biologics and medical devices.
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