Robust change point detection for high‐dimensional linear models with tolerance for outliers and heavy tails

Zhi Yang, Liwen Zhang, Siyu Sun, Bin Liu
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Abstract

This article focuses on detecting change points in high‐dimensional linear regression models with piecewise constant regression coefficients, moving beyond the conventional reliance on strict Gaussian or sub‐Gaussian noise assumptions. In the face of real‐world complexities, where noise often deviates into uncertain or heavy‐tailed distributions, we propose two tailored algorithms: a dynamic programming algorithm (DPA) for improved localization accuracy, and a binary segmentation algorithm (BSA) optimized for computational efficiency. These solutions are designed to be flexible, catering to increasing sample sizes and data dimensions, and offer a robust estimation of change points without requiring specific moments of the noise distribution. The efficacy of DPA and BSA is thoroughly evaluated through extensive simulation studies and application to real datasets, showing their competitive edge in adaptability and performance.
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容许异常值和重尾的高维线性模型的稳健变化点检测
本文的重点是检测具有片断常数回归系数的高维线性回归模型中的变化点,超越了传统的严格高斯或亚高斯噪声假设。面对噪声经常偏离成不确定或重尾分布的复杂现实世界,我们提出了两种量身定制的算法:一种是提高定位精度的动态编程算法(DPA),另一种是为提高计算效率而优化的二元分割算法(BSA)。这些解决方案设计灵活,能满足样本量和数据维度不断增加的要求,并能对变化点进行稳健的估计,而不需要噪声分布的特定矩。通过广泛的模拟研究和对真实数据集的应用,对 DPA 和 BSA 的功效进行了全面评估,显示了它们在适应性和性能方面的竞争优势。
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