Construction and validation of a preoperative prognostic model integrating the novel aspartate aminotransferase-albumin score for hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing liver resection.

Abstract

Backgrounds/aims: Patients undergoing liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often possess good liver reserve, which may limit the prognostic effectiveness of existing liver function scores. This study aimed to develop a novel liver function score and a preoperative prognostic model specifically for HCC resection patients.

Methods: Eight hundred twenty-seven HCC patients undergoing initial liver resection were segregated into training and validation cohorts in a 6:4 ratio. Cox regression analysis was employed to identify significant parameters influencing overall survival. The efficacy of the liver function score and prognostic model was evaluated using metrics such as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results: Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and albumin emerged as significant prognostic indicators. The AST-albumin (ASAL) score, calculated as exp [AST (IU/L) × 0.005 - albumin (g/dL) × 1.043] × 100, outperformed existing scores such as Child-Turcotte-Pugh, albumin-bilirubin, platelet-albumin, and AST-platelet ratio index in both training and validation cohorts. Additionally, a scoring model that combined the ASAL score with alpha-fetoprotein and the up-to-seven criterion exhibited superior discriminatory capabilities compared to the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor, node, metastasis stage, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage.

Conclusions: The proposed prognostic model that integrates the novel ASAL score offers promising prognostic potential for HCC patients undergoing liver resection.