A SIMULATION MODEL TO QUANTIFY THE EFFICACY OF DRY CLEANING INTERVENTIONS ON A CONTAMINATED MILK POWDER LINE

Devin Daeschel, Long Chen, Claire Zoellner, Abigail B Snyder
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Abstract

Outbreaks of Salmonella and other pathogens associated with low moisture foods have been caused by cross-contamination from the processing environment into product. We used Monte Carlo simulations to model the impact of hypothetical cross-contamination scenarios of Salmonella from production equipment into milk powder. Model outputs include the quantity and extent of contaminated product from a production line, which can be useful for comparing the efficacy of different cleaning interventions. We also modeled the cross-contamination of potential dry cleaning surrogates to see how they responded to cleaning interventions in comparison to Salmonella. Input parameters for the model included log reductions from wiping an inoculated surface with a dry towel and transfer coefficients from an inoculated surface into milk powder that were measured experimentally and fitted to probability distributions. After a 2 log CFU contamination breach, the number of consumer size milk powder units (300 g) contaminated with Salmonella was 72 [24, 96] (median [p5, p95] across 1000 simulation iterations). The average concentration of Salmonella within contaminated units was -2.33 log CFU/g [-2.46, -1.86]. Wiping with a dry towel reduced the number of contaminated units to 26 [12, 64]. After product flushing with 150 kg of milk powder, the number of contaminated units dropped to 0 [0, 41]. E. faecium was the most appropriate surrogate for Salmonella transfer from surface to milk powder, while L. innocua was a more appropriate surrogate for the dry towel wiping intervention. These results suggest that product flushing, and to a lesser degree dry wiping, may be effective interventions in reducing contaminated milk powder product after a contamination breach. Further, simulation modeling is a useful tool for evaluating Salmonella dry transfer surrogates for their use in dry cleaning validation and modeling applications.
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量化干洗干预措施对受污染奶粉生产线的功效的模拟模型
与低水分食品相关的沙门氏菌和其他病原体的爆发是由加工环境中的交叉污染进入产品造成的。我们使用蒙特卡洛模拟来模拟沙门氏菌从生产设备进入奶粉的假设交叉污染情况的影响。模型输出包括生产线受污染产品的数量和程度,这有助于比较不同清洁干预措施的效果。我们还对潜在的干洗替代物的交叉污染进行了建模,以了解它们与沙门氏菌相比对清洁干预措施的反应。模型的输入参数包括用干毛巾擦拭接种表面的对数减少量,以及接种表面向奶粉中的转移系数,这些参数都是通过实验测得的,并与概率分布相拟合。在出现 2 log CFU 污染缺口后,受沙门氏菌污染的消费者奶粉单位(300 克)数量为 72 [24, 96](1000 次模拟迭代的中位数 [p5, p95])。受污染单位内沙门氏菌的平均浓度为 -2.33 log CFU/g [-2.46, -1.86] 。用干毛巾擦拭后,受污染单元的数量减少到 26 个 [12, 64]。用 150 千克奶粉冲洗产品后,受污染单位的数量降至 0 [0, 41]。粪肠球菌是沙门氏菌从表面转移到奶粉的最合适的代用品,而无毒梭菌则是干毛巾擦拭干预措施的更合适的代用品。这些结果表明,冲洗产品以及在较低程度上用干毛巾擦拭产品可能是在发生污染事件后减少受污染奶粉产品的有效干预措施。此外,模拟建模是评估沙门氏菌干转移替代物的有用工具,可用于干洗验证和建模应用。
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