The economic impacts of the rural credit: An analysis of the Brazilian National Family Farming Strengthening Program by biome

IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI:10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100115
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Abstract

This study aims to assess the economic impacts of the National Family Farming Strengthening Program (Pronaf) in the various Brazilian biomes. The impacts at the sectoral, regional, and macroeconomic levels, arising from increases in rural credit to farmers in Brazilian territory – family and non-family farmers separately considered –, are carried out using the Computable General Equilibrium model, TERM-Biomas, specially built for analysis of the rural sectors in the Brazilian biomes. The key conclusion is that all regions of the model win, in the most varied magnitudes. Regions with higher participation in family farming production earn more than others. Up to the year 2020, some regions – from the Caatinga biome – show comparative losses. This may be because traditionally family farming regions would have their demands for primary factors more drastically increased, investments and jobs migrate, for example, from those regions of Caatinga. When the results are analyzed in a wider time limit, however, the results suggest general gains. The more vulnerable and specialized in family farming sectors are the regions, the greater the gains.

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农村信贷的经济影响:按生物群落对巴西全国家庭农业强化计划的分析
本研究旨在评估国家加强家庭农业计划(Pronaf)对巴西各生物群落的经济影响。利用专门为分析巴西各生物群落农村部门而建立的可计算一般均衡模型 TERM-Biomas,对巴西境内农民(家庭和非家庭农民分别考虑)增加农村信贷在部门、地区和宏观经济层面产生的影响进行了研究。主要结论是,模型中的所有地区都赢了,而且赢的幅度最大。家庭农业生产参与率较高的地区比其他地区收入更高。到 2020 年,一些地区(来自卡廷加生物群落)显示出相对损失。这可能是因为传统的家庭农业地区对初级要素的需求将大幅增加,投资和工作机会将从卡廷加地区等地转移。不过,如果从更广的时间范围来分析,结果表明总体上是有利的。家庭农业部门越脆弱、越专业的地区,收益就越大。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
5.90%
发文量
92
期刊介绍: Regional Science Policy & Practice (RSPP) is the official policy and practitioner orientated journal of the Regional Science Association International. It is an international journal that publishes high quality papers in applied regional science that explore policy and practice issues in regional and local development. It welcomes papers from a range of academic disciplines and practitioners including planning, public policy, geography, economics and environmental science and related fields. Papers should address the interface between academic debates and policy development and application. RSPP provides an opportunity for academics and policy makers to develop a dialogue to identify and explore many of the challenges facing local and regional economies.
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