Sleep-Induced Network With Reducing Information Loss for Short-Term Load Forecasting

IF 7.2 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI:10.1109/TPWRS.2024.3443156
Han Wu;Yan Liang;Xiao-Zhi Gao;Jia-Ni Heng;Zhe Chen
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Abstract

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays an important role in real-time decision-making and management of the power system while is still a challenging task. Considering that sleep improves brain memories and cognitive processes, this paper explores a approach of integrating biological mechanisms to reduce information loss of networks, and hence proposes a sleep-induced network (SI-Net) by analogy for achieving high-performance STLF. Firstly, through mimicking the sleep process, a multi-level bionic flowchart of the SI-Net is designed to integrate the gated, attention, parallel, cooperative, and asynchronous mechanisms, which not only encode features from coarse to fine but also enhance the fitting capability at the feature layer. Secondly, through imitating the brain memory paths during sleep, the primary and secondary memory paths are designed to update and store information, respectively, and their independence and collaboration avoid information loss in the SI-Net. Thirdly, the loss function constructed by the Gaussian kernel makes nonlinear errors linearly separable in the high-dimensional space, being beneficial to train the SI-Net. The experiments with real-world load datasets are performed and the results show that the SI-Net outperforms 15 baselines and presents high accuracy and stability. Bionically-inspired ideas are promising to design high-performance forecasting networks for energy systems.
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减少短期负荷预测信息损失的睡眠诱导网络
短期负荷预测在电力系统的实时决策和管理中发挥着重要作用,但也是一项具有挑战性的任务。考虑到睡眠可以改善大脑记忆和认知过程,本文探讨了整合生物学机制减少网络信息丢失的方法,并提出了类比睡眠诱导网络(SI-Net)实现高性能STLF的方法。首先,通过模拟睡眠过程,设计了集成门控、注意、并行、协作和异步机制的多级SI-Net仿生流程图,实现了特征由粗到细的编码,增强了特征层的拟合能力;其次,通过模仿睡眠时的大脑记忆路径,设计主记忆路径和次记忆路径分别更新和存储信息,它们的独立性和协作性避免了SI-Net中的信息丢失。第三,由高斯核构造的损失函数使非线性误差在高维空间线性可分,有利于SI-Net的训练。在实际负载数据集上进行了实验,结果表明SI-Net优于15个基线,具有较高的精度和稳定性。仿生学启发的想法有望为能源系统设计高性能的预测网络。
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来源期刊
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
7.60%
发文量
696
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The scope of IEEE Transactions on Power Systems covers the education, analysis, operation, planning, and economics of electric generation, transmission, and distribution systems for general industrial, commercial, public, and domestic consumption, including the interaction with multi-energy carriers. The focus of this transactions is the power system from a systems viewpoint instead of components of the system. It has five (5) key areas within its scope with several technical topics within each area. These areas are: (1) Power Engineering Education, (2) Power System Analysis, Computing, and Economics, (3) Power System Dynamic Performance, (4) Power System Operations, and (5) Power System Planning and Implementation.
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