Diverticular disease and risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events: A nationwide matched cohort study.

Abstract

Background: An increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been reported in patients with diverticular disease (DD). However, there are knowledge gaps about specific risks of each major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) component.

Methods: This nationwide cohort study included Swedish adults with DD (1987-2017, N=52,468) without previous CVD. DD was defined through ICD codes in the National Patient Register and colorectal histopathology reports from the ESPRESSO study. DD cases were matched by age, sex, calendar year and county of residence to ≤5 population reference individuals (N=194,525). Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for MACE up until December 2021 were calculated using stratified Cox proportional hazard models.

Results: Median age at DD diagnosis was 62 years and 61% were females. During a median follow-up of 8.6 years, 16,147 incident MACE occurred in individuals with DD, and 48,134 in reference individuals (incidence rates (IRs)=61.4 vs. 43.8/1,000 person-years) corresponding to an aHR of 1.24 (95%CI=1.22-1.27), equivalent to one extra case of MACE for every 6 DD patients followed for 10 years. The risk was increased for ischemic heart disease (IR=27.9 vs. 18.6; aHR=1.36, 95%CI=1.32-1.40), congestive heart failure (IR=23.2 vs. 15.8; aHR=1.26, 95%CI=1.22-1.31), and stroke (IR=18.0 vs. 13.7; aHR=1.15, 95%CI=1.11-1.19). DD was not associated with cardiovascular mortality (IR=18.9 vs. 15.3; aHR=1.01, 95%CI=0.98-1.05). Results remained robust in sibling-controlled analyses.

Conclusions: Patients with DD had a 24% increased risk of MACE compared with reference individuals, but no increased cardiovascular mortality. Future research should confirm these data and examine underlying mechanisms and shared risk factors between DD and CVD.