{"title":"A nomogram prediction model for postoperative seroma/hematoma in elderly subjects after TAPP.","authors":"Yongxiang Ge, Yang Zhou, Jian Liu, Weijian Shen, Hailiang Gu, Guochang Cheng","doi":"10.1007/s10029-024-03134-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Formation of seroma/hematoma is one of the most common postoperative complications following laparoscopic inguinal hernia repair. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with seroma/hematoma and construct a prediction model.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Elderly subjects undergoing laparoscopic Transabdominal preperitoneal Patch Plasty (TAPP) were included in this study. The observation endpoint was set as the occurrence of seroma/hematoma within 3 months after TAPP surgery. Independent risk factors were identified through preliminary univariate screening and binary logistic regression analysis. These risk factors were then used to construct a nomogram predictive model using R software.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 330 patients were included in the analysis, of which 51 developed seroma/hematoma, resulting in an incidence rate of 15.5%. Obesity (OR: 3.54, 95%CI: 1.45-8.66, P = 0.006), antithrombotic drug use (OR: 2.73, 95%CI: 1.06-7.03, P = 0.037), C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 8 (OR: 2.72, 95%CI: 1.04-7.10, P = 0.041, albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR) < 7.85 (OR: 2.99, 95%CI: 1.28-7.00, P = 0.012), and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR) < 4.05 (OR: 12.62, 95%CI: 5.69-28.01, P < 0.001) were five independent risk factors for seroma/hematoma. The nomogram model has well predictive value for seroma/hematoma, with an AUC of 0.879.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The nomogram model based on obesity, antithrombotic drug, CRP, AFR, and LMR has a proved good predictive value and it has potential in clinical practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":13168,"journal":{"name":"Hernia","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Hernia","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10029-024-03134-5","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/8/23 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"SURGERY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Formation of seroma/hematoma is one of the most common postoperative complications following laparoscopic inguinal hernia repair. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with seroma/hematoma and construct a prediction model.
Methods: Elderly subjects undergoing laparoscopic Transabdominal preperitoneal Patch Plasty (TAPP) were included in this study. The observation endpoint was set as the occurrence of seroma/hematoma within 3 months after TAPP surgery. Independent risk factors were identified through preliminary univariate screening and binary logistic regression analysis. These risk factors were then used to construct a nomogram predictive model using R software.
Results: A total of 330 patients were included in the analysis, of which 51 developed seroma/hematoma, resulting in an incidence rate of 15.5%. Obesity (OR: 3.54, 95%CI: 1.45-8.66, P = 0.006), antithrombotic drug use (OR: 2.73, 95%CI: 1.06-7.03, P = 0.037), C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 8 (OR: 2.72, 95%CI: 1.04-7.10, P = 0.041, albumin/fibrinogen ratio (AFR) < 7.85 (OR: 2.99, 95%CI: 1.28-7.00, P = 0.012), and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR) < 4.05 (OR: 12.62, 95%CI: 5.69-28.01, P < 0.001) were five independent risk factors for seroma/hematoma. The nomogram model has well predictive value for seroma/hematoma, with an AUC of 0.879.
Conclusions: The nomogram model based on obesity, antithrombotic drug, CRP, AFR, and LMR has a proved good predictive value and it has potential in clinical practice.
期刊介绍:
Hernia was founded in 1997 by Jean P. Chevrel with the purpose of promoting clinical studies and basic research as they apply to groin hernias and the abdominal wall . Since that time, a true revolution in the field of hernia studies has transformed the field from a ”simple” disease to one that is very specialized. While the majority of surgeries for primary inguinal and abdominal wall hernia are performed in hospitals worldwide, complex situations such as multi recurrences, complications, abdominal wall reconstructions and others are being studied and treated in specialist centers. As a result, major institutions and societies are creating specific parameters and criteria to better address the complexities of hernia surgery.
Hernia is a journal written by surgeons who have made abdominal wall surgery their specific field of interest, but we will consider publishing content from any surgeon who wishes to improve the science of this field. The Journal aims to ensure that hernia surgery is safer and easier for surgeons as well as patients, and provides a forum to all surgeons in the exchange of new ideas, results, and important research that is the basis of professional activity.