When physician supply does not meet patient demand: A looming epidemic in vascular and renal care for a community with the highest incidence of end-stage renal disease in the United States

IF 2.7 3区 医学 Q1 SURGERY American journal of surgery Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.amjsurg.2024.115906
Valentine S. Alia , Toluwani Akinpelu , Aaron Dadzie , Shuaibahmed Arab , Robert Sanchez , Aaron Silva , Christian D. Cerecedo Lopez , Daniel Albo
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Abstract

Background

South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley (RGV) are medically underserved-communities near the Texas-Mexico border with the highest incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the nation, and a shortage of available full-time equivalent (FTE) specialty-physicians.

Methods

Data on the incidence/prevalence of ESRD and workforce projections on vascular-surgeons and nephrologists were collected from the United States Renal Data System and Texas Department of State Health Services. We then merged data from both datasets to identify population-specific healthcare-trends.

Results

Texas had the highest rates of ESRD from 2016 to 2020, with its border regions leading the state. By 2032, vascular-surgery and nephrology are projected to have the 1st and 4th worst physician-shortages in the state respectively, with the percentage of these FTE specialty-physicians available to meet the need of the RGV ranging from 42.3 to 58.4 ​%.

Conclusions

The RGV is experiencing increased rates of ESRD, while having a paradoxical-decline in specialty-physicians available to provide adequate care.
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当医生供应无法满足患者需求时:在一个美国终末期肾病发病率最高的社区,血管和肾病护理领域即将出现流行病。
背景:得克萨斯州南部和里奥格兰德河谷(RGV)靠近得克萨斯州和墨西哥边境,是医疗服务不足的社区,其终末期肾病(ESRD)发病率居全美之首,但现有相当于全职(FTE)的专科医师却十分短缺:方法:我们从美国肾脏数据系统和得克萨斯州卫生服务部收集了有关 ESRD 发病率/流行率的数据以及血管外科医生和肾病医生的劳动力预测数据。然后,我们合并了这两个数据集的数据,以确定特定人群的医疗趋势:结果:从 2016 年到 2020 年,得克萨斯州的 ESRD 患病率最高,其中边境地区居首位。预计到 2032 年,血管外科和肾脏科的医生短缺率将分别位居全州第一和第四位,这些全职专科医师可满足 RGV 需求的比例从 42.3% 到 58.4% 不等:结论:RGV 的 ESRD 患病率在不断上升,而可提供适当医疗服务的专科医师却在不断减少。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
6.70%
发文量
570
审稿时长
56 days
期刊介绍: The American Journal of Surgery® is a peer-reviewed journal designed for the general surgeon who performs abdominal, cancer, vascular, head and neck, breast, colorectal, and other forms of surgery. AJS is the official journal of 7 major surgical societies* and publishes their official papers as well as independently submitted clinical studies, editorials, reviews, brief reports, correspondence and book reviews.
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