Waste Heat and Habitability: Constraints from Technological Energy Consumption

Amedeo Balbi, Manasvi Lingam
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Abstract

Waste heat production represents an inevitable consequence of energy conversion as per the laws of thermodynamics. Based on this fact, by using simple theoretical models, we analyze constraints on the habitability of Earth-like terrestrial planets hosting putative technological species and technospheres characterized by persistent exponential growth of energy consumption and waste heat generation: in particular, we quantify the deleterious effects of rising surface temperature on biospheric processes and the eventual loss of liquid water. Irrespective of whether these sources of energy are ultimately stellar or planetary (e.g., nuclear, fossil fuels) in nature, we demonstrate that the loss of habitable conditions on such terrestrial planets may be expected to occur on timescales of $\lesssim 1000$ years, as measured from the start of the exponential phase, provided that the annual growth rate of energy consumption is of order $1\%$. We conclude by discussing the types of evolutionary trajectories that might be feasible for industrialized technological species, and sketch the ensuing implications for technosignature searches.
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废热与宜居性:技术能源消耗的制约因素
根据热力学定律,产生废热是能量转换的必然结果。基于这一事实,通过使用简单的理论模型,我们分析了承载假定技术物种的类地行星和以持续指数增长的能源消耗和废热产生为特征的技术大气层的可居住性制约因素:特别是,我们量化了表面温度升高对生物圈过程的有害影响以及液态水的最终丧失。无论这些能量来源最终是恒星还是行星(如核能、化石燃料)性质的,我们都证明,如果能量消耗的年增长率为 1 美元/%,那么从指数阶段开始计算,这些地球星上可居住条件的丧失预计将在 1000 美元/年以下的时间尺度内发生。最后,我们讨论了工业化技术物种可能可行的进化轨迹类型,并概述了随之而来的对技术特征搜索的影响。
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