Estimation of soil salinity using satellite-based variables and machine learning methods

Abstract

Soil salinity is one of the significant environmental issues that can reduce crop growth and productivity, ultimately leading to land degradation. Therefore, accurate monitoring and mapping of soil salinity are essential for implementing effective measures to combat increasing salinity. This study aims to estimate the spatial distribution of soil salinity using machine learning methods in Huludao City, located in northeastern China. By meticulously collecting data, soil salinity was measured in 310 soil samples. Subsequently, environmental parameters were calculated using remote sensing data. In the next step, soil salinity was modeled using machine learning methods, including random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN). Additionally, to estimate uncertainty, the lower limit (5%) and upper limit (95%) prediction intervals were used. The results indicated that accurate maps for predicting soil salinity could be obtained using machine learning methods. By comparing the methods employed, it was determined that the RF model is the most accurate approach for estimating soil salinity (RMSE=0.03, AIC=-919, BIS=-891, and R²=0.84). Furthermore, the results from the prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) index, utilizing the uncertainty maps, demonstrated the high predictive accuracy of the methods employed in this study. Moreover, it was revealed that the environmental parameters, including NDVI, GNDVI, standh, and BI, are the main controllers of the spatial patterns of soil salinity in the study area. However, there remains a need to explore more precise methods for estimating soil salinity and identifying salinity patterns, as soil salinity has intensified with increased human activities, necessitating more detailed investigations.