Solving Decision Theory Problems with Probabilistic Answer Set Programming

Damiano Azzolini, Elena Bellodi, Rafael Kiesel, Fabrizio Riguzzi
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Abstract

Solving a decision theory problem usually involves finding the actions, among a set of possible ones, which optimize the expected reward, possibly accounting for the uncertainty of the environment. In this paper, we introduce the possibility to encode decision theory problems with Probabilistic Answer Set Programming under the credal semantics via decision atoms and utility attributes. To solve the task we propose an algorithm based on three layers of Algebraic Model Counting, that we test on several synthetic datasets against an algorithm that adopts answer set enumeration. Empirical results show that our algorithm can manage non trivial instances of programs in a reasonable amount of time. Under consideration in Theory and Practice of Logic Programming (TPLP).
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用概率答案集编程法解决决策理论问题
解决决策论问题通常涉及在一组可能的行动中找出能优化预期回报的行动,同时可能考虑到环境的不确定性。在本文中,我们通过决策原子和效用属性,介绍了在信元语义下用概率答案集编程对决策论问题进行编码的可能性。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一种基于三层代数模型计数的算法,并在几个合成数据集上与采用答案集枚举的算法进行了对比测试。实证结果表明,我们的算法可以在合理的时间内管理非琐碎的程序实例。正在《逻辑编程理论与实践》(TPLP)上发表。
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