Controllable Financial Market Generation with Diffusion Guided Meta Agent

Yu-Hao Huang, Chang Xu, Yang Liu, Weiqing Liu, Wu-Jun Li, Jiang Bian
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Abstract

Order flow modeling stands as the most fundamental and essential financial task, as orders embody the minimal unit within a financial market. However, current approaches often result in unsatisfactory fidelity in generating order flow, and their generation lacks controllability, thereby limiting their application scenario. In this paper, we advocate incorporating controllability into the market generation process, and propose a Diffusion Guided meta Agent(DiGA) model to address the problem. Specifically, we utilize a diffusion model to capture dynamics of market state represented by time-evolving distribution parameters about mid-price return rate and order arrival rate, and define a meta agent with financial economic priors to generate orders from the corresponding distributions. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that our method exhibits outstanding controllability and fidelity in generation. Furthermore, we validate DiGA's effectiveness as generative environment for downstream financial applications.
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利用扩散引导元代理生成可控金融市场
订单流建模是最基本、最重要的金融任务,因为订单是金融市场的最小单位。然而,目前的方法在生成订单流时的保真度往往不能令人满意,而且其生成缺乏可控性,从而限制了其应用场景。在本文中,我们主张将可控性纳入市场生成过程,并提出了一种扩散引导元代理(DiGA)模型来解决这一问题。具体来说,我们利用一个扩散模型来捕捉市场状态的动态变化,该动态变化由关于中间价回报率和订单到达率的时间变化分布参数来表示,并定义了一个具有金融经济先验的元代理,以便从相应的分布中生成订单。广泛的实验结果表明,我们的方法在生成过程中表现出出色的可控性和保真度。此外,我们还验证了 DiGA 作为下游金融应用生成环境的有效性。
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