Influence of bovines and rodents in the spread of schistosomiasis across the ricefield-lakescape of Lake Mainit, Philippines: An Optimal Control Study

J. P. Arcede, B. Doungsavanhb, L. A. Estaño, J. C. Jumawan, J. H. Jumawan, Y. Mammeri
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Abstract

Schistosomiasis remains a persistent challenge in tropical freshwater ecosystems, necessitating the development of refined control strategies. Bovines, especially water buffaloes, are commonly used in traditional farming practices across rural areas of the Philippines. Bovines, however, are the biggest reservoir hosts for schistosome eggs, which contribute to the active transmission cycle of schistosomiasis in rice fields. We propose a mathematical model to analyze schistosomiasis dynamics in rice fields near the Lake Mainit in the Philippines, an area known for endemic transmission of schistosomiasis, focusing on human, bovine, and snail populations. Rodents, although considered, were not directly included in the control strategies. Grounded in field data, the model, built on a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations, enabled us to derive the basic reproduction number and assess various intervention strategies. The simulation of optimal control scenarios, incorporating chemotherapy, mollusciciding, and mechanical methods, provides a comparative analysis of their efficacies. The results indicated that the integrated control strategies markedly reduced the prevalence of schistosomiasis. This study provides insights into optimal control strategies that are vital for policymakers to design effective, sustainable schistosomiasis control programs, underscored by the necessity to include bovine populations in treatment regimens.
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牛群和啮齿动物对血吸虫病在菲律宾美尼特湖稻田-湖泊间传播的影响:优化控制研究
血吸虫病仍然是热带淡水生态系统面临的一项长期挑战,因此有必要制定完善的控制策略。在菲律宾农村地区的传统农业实践中,牛,尤其是水牛,是常用的动物。然而,牛是血吸虫卵的最大蓄积宿主,而血吸虫卵又促成了血吸虫病在稻田中的主动传播循环。我们提出了一个数学模型来分析菲律宾美因提湖附近稻田的血吸虫病动态,该地区是已知的血吸虫病地方性传播区,重点是人、牛和蜗牛种群。虽然考虑了啮齿动物,但并未将其直接纳入控制策略。该模型以实地数据为基础,建立在非线性常微分方程系统之上,使我们能够推导出基本繁殖数量并评估各种干预策略。通过模拟结合化疗、杀软体动物和机械方法的最佳控制方案,对其效果进行了比较分析。结果表明,综合控制策略显著降低了血吸虫病的流行率。这项研究为决策者设计有效、可持续的血吸虫病控制计划提供了最佳控制策略方面的见解,并强调了将牛群纳入治疗方案的必要性。
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