Crossing river oil pipeline spill emergency response plan automatic association study based on Apriori‐Topsis

IF 1 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Process Safety Progress Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI:10.1002/prs.12642
Jian Kang, Xiangxuan Meng, Ningning Li, Tao Su, Xiangyu Zhang, Haoyuan Dai
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Abstract

With the increase in service time of oil pipelines, the probability of pipeline damage increases and the risk of leakage increases. However, as an important equipment for transporting oil, long‐distance pipelines have to be built across rivers. According to statistics, the leakage accidents of oil pipelines crossing rivers account for nearly 50% of all pipeline leakage accidents. Crude oil diffused into rivers easily cause serious pollution and damage to rivers and nearby organisms. Therefore, it is of great significance to study a reasonable, rapid, and efficient oil spill emergency treatment scheme for pollution and property loss. In this paper, an optimization model of emergency disposal scheme based on Apriori‐Topsis is proposed. Firstly, according to the characteristics of the oil spill pipeline, the general scheme library of emergency disposal is automatically generated by association rules, including the type, quantity, layout, and selected disposal technology of oil recovery equipment. Then, combined with the calculation of emergency disposal materials, the multi‐decision technology Topsis model is adopted to optimize the scheme from two angles of oil recovery effect and economic cost, and finally the cost‐effective emergency disposal scheme is obtained. Finally, taking the oil pollution accident on the second line of the Qing river as an example, the optimization model of emergency disposal scheme based on Apriori‐Topsis proposed in this paper is carried out. The application results verify the availability and effectiveness of the model, which provides a new method for the selection of emergency materials for rivers and pipeline process safety.
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基于 Apriori-Topsis 的跨河石油管道泄漏应急预案自动关联研究
随着输油管道使用时间的增加,管道损坏的概率也随之增加,泄漏的风险也随之增大。然而,作为运输石油的重要设备,长输管道必须穿越河流。据统计,石油管道穿越河流的泄漏事故占所有管道泄漏事故的近 50%。原油扩散到河流中,极易对河流及附近生物造成严重污染和破坏。因此,研究一种合理、快速、高效的溢油污染和财产损失应急处理方案具有重要意义。本文提出了一种基于 Apriori-Topsis 的溢油应急处置方案优化模型。首先,根据溢油管线的特点,通过关联规则自动生成应急处置总体方案库,包括采油设备的类型、数量、布局、所选处置技术等。然后,结合应急处置物资的计算,采用多决策技术Topsis模型,从采油效果和经济成本两个角度对方案进行优化,最终得到经济有效的应急处置方案。最后,以清江二线油污事故为例,对本文提出的基于 Apriori-Topsis 的应急处置方案优化模型进行了应用。应用结果验证了模型的可用性和有效性,为河流和管道工艺安全应急物资的选择提供了一种新方法。
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来源期刊
Process Safety Progress
Process Safety Progress 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
10.00%
发文量
99
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Process Safety Progress covers process safety for engineering professionals. It addresses such topics as incident investigations/case histories, hazardous chemicals management, hazardous leaks prevention, risk assessment, process hazards evaluation, industrial hygiene, fire and explosion analysis, preventive maintenance, vapor cloud dispersion, and regulatory compliance, training, education, and other areas in process safety and loss prevention, including emerging concerns like plant and/or process security. Papers from the annual Loss Prevention Symposium and other AIChE safety conferences are automatically considered for publication, but unsolicited papers, particularly those addressing process safety issues in emerging technologies and industries are encouraged and evaluated equally.
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