Multi-layer diffusion model of photovoltaic installations

Tomasz Weron, Janusz Szwabinski
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Abstract

Nowadays, harmful effects of climate change are becoming increasingly apparent. A vital issue that must be addressed is the generation of energy from non-renewable and often polluted sources. For this reason, the development of renewable energy sources is of great importance. Unfortunately, too rapid spread of renewables can disrupt stability of the power system and lead to energy blackouts. One should not simply support it, without ensuring sustainability and understanding of the diffusion process. In this research, we propose a new agent-based model of diffusion of photovoltaic panels. It is an extension of the $q$-voter model that utilizes multi-layer network structure. The model is analyzed by Monte Carlo simulations and mean-field approximation. The impact of parameters and specifications on the basic properties of the model is discussed.
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光伏装置的多层扩散模型
如今,气候变化的有害影响日益明显。必须解决的一个重要问题是利用不可再生且经常受到污染的能源生产能源。因此,开发可再生能源至关重要。遗憾的是,可再生能源的过快普及会破坏电力系统的稳定,导致能源大停电。因此,在不确保可持续发展和不了解推广过程的情况下,我们不能简单地支持可再生能源的发展。在这项研究中,我们提出了一个新的基于代理的光伏电池板扩散模型。该模型通过蒙特卡罗模拟和平均场近似进行分析,并讨论了参数和规格对模型基本特性的影响。
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