Single-parameter effective dynamics of warm cloud precipitation

Abstract

Cloud observables such as precipitation efficiency and cloud lifetime are key quantities in weather and climate, but understanding their quantitative connection to initial conditions such as initial cloud water mass or droplet size remains challenging. Here we study the evolution of cloud droplets with a bin microphysics scheme, modeling both gravitational coagulation as well as fallout, and develop analytical formulae to describe the evolution of bulk cloud and rain water. We separate the dynamics into a mass-conserving and fallout-dominated regime, which reveals that the overall dynamics are governed by a single non-dimensional parameter $\mu$, the ratio of accretion and sedimentation time scales. Cloud observables from the simulations accordingly collapse as a function of $\mu$. We also find an unexpected relationship between cloud water and accumulated rain, and that fallout can be modeled with a bulk fall speed which is constant in time despite an evolving raindrop distribution.