{"title":"Prediction of Sea Level Rise near Shanghai","authors":"Yi Zheng","doi":"arxiv-2408.06387","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Firstly, by establishing a prediction model for global sea-level rise and\ncalculating with Maple, it is shown that the global sea-level rise rate in 2009\nis 2.68 mm/a. The height and rate of global sea-level rise will be about 9.11\ncm and 3.22 mm/a in 2020. Based on the study and the actual land subsidence in\nShanghai Lingang New City, the rate of relative sea-level rise near Lingang New\nCity is calculated to be 12.68 mm/a in 2009. Then, through setting up the\nextrapolation prediction model with a linear trend term and a significant tidal\ncycle, the rise rate of average sea-level near Lingang New City was predicted.\nThe result showed it will be 0.33 mm/a in 2020.","PeriodicalId":501166,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2408.06387","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Firstly, by establishing a prediction model for global sea-level rise and
calculating with Maple, it is shown that the global sea-level rise rate in 2009
is 2.68 mm/a. The height and rate of global sea-level rise will be about 9.11
cm and 3.22 mm/a in 2020. Based on the study and the actual land subsidence in
Shanghai Lingang New City, the rate of relative sea-level rise near Lingang New
City is calculated to be 12.68 mm/a in 2009. Then, through setting up the
extrapolation prediction model with a linear trend term and a significant tidal
cycle, the rise rate of average sea-level near Lingang New City was predicted.
The result showed it will be 0.33 mm/a in 2020.
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