Simultaneous identification of groundwater contamination source information, model parameters, and boundary conditions under an unknown boundary mode

IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI:10.1007/s00477-024-02795-z
Zibo Wang, Wenxi Lu, Zhenbo Chang, Yukun Bai, Yaning Xu
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Abstract

Boundary conditions play a crucial role in groundwater contamination source identification (GCSI), but they may be complex and reliable estimates are difficult to obtain in advance in actual situations. If the estimated values deviate significantly from the actual situation, the GCSI results will be inaccurate. However, very few studies have attempted to identify the boundary conditions in GCSI, and even when they are identified, they are often considered too simple. The boundary mode (Bmode) is assumed to be known, but in reality, it is often unknown and is more complex than initially assumed. Previous practices based on this assumption may not accurately reflect actual situations. Therefore, this study focused on the concentration boundaries, and the boundary conditions were also considered unknown variables, along with contamination source information and model parameters. To alleviate the problem of identifying the boundary conditions under an unknown Bmode, we proposed for the first time to treat the Bmode as an unknown variable. Thus, the source information, model parameters, Bmode, and corresponding parameters in the boundary concentration (BC) function were identified simultaneously. The Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis with a Snooker Update and Sampling from a Past Archive (DREAM(ZS)) algorithm and a Kriging surrogate model were used as the primary means of solution. We designed four different synthetic cases to test the effectiveness of the above ideas. When identifying the Bmode, the obtained BC mostly fitted well with the true BC. It was therefore considered feasible for identifying the Bmode. The performance of the DREAM(ZS) algorithm was found to be superior to the traditional DREAM algorithm and was more efficient.

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在未知边界模式下同时识别地下水污染源信息、模型参数和边界条件
边界条件在地下水污染源识别(GCSI)中起着至关重要的作用,但边界条件可能很复杂,在实际情况下很难预先获得可靠的估计值。如果估计值与实际情况有很大偏差,GCSI 结果就会不准确。然而,很少有研究试图确定 GCSI 中的边界条件,即使确定了边界条件,也往往被认为过于简单。边界模式(Bmode)被假定为已知的,但实际上,它往往是未知的,而且比最初假定的更为复杂。基于这一假设的以往做法可能无法准确反映实际情况。因此,本研究将重点放在浓度边界上,并将边界条件与污染源信息和模型参数一起视为未知变量。为了缓解在未知 Bmode 条件下确定边界条件的问题,我们首次提出将 Bmode 视为未知变量。这样,污染源信息、模型参数、Bmode 和边界浓度(BC)函数中的相应参数就可以同时识别了。差分演化自适应 Metropolis 与斯诺克更新和从过去档案中采样(DREAM(ZS))算法和 Kriging 代理模型被用作主要的求解手段。我们设计了四个不同的合成案例来测试上述想法的有效性。在识别 Bmode 时,得到的 BC 大多与真实 BC 非常吻合。因此,我们认为识别 Bmode 是可行的。我们发现,DREAM(ZS)算法的性能优于传统的 DREAM 算法,而且更加高效。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.10
自引率
9.50%
发文量
189
审稿时长
3.8 months
期刊介绍: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA) will publish research papers, reviews and technical notes on stochastic and probabilistic approaches to environmental sciences and engineering, including interactions of earth and atmospheric environments with people and ecosystems. The basic idea is to bring together research papers on stochastic modelling in various fields of environmental sciences and to provide an interdisciplinary forum for the exchange of ideas, for communicating on issues that cut across disciplinary barriers, and for the dissemination of stochastic techniques used in different fields to the community of interested researchers. Original contributions will be considered dealing with modelling (theoretical and computational), measurements and instrumentation in one or more of the following topical areas: - Spatiotemporal analysis and mapping of natural processes. - Enviroinformatics. - Environmental risk assessment, reliability analysis and decision making. - Surface and subsurface hydrology and hydraulics. - Multiphase porous media domains and contaminant transport modelling. - Hazardous waste site characterization. - Stochastic turbulence and random hydrodynamic fields. - Chaotic and fractal systems. - Random waves and seafloor morphology. - Stochastic atmospheric and climate processes. - Air pollution and quality assessment research. - Modern geostatistics. - Mechanisms of pollutant formation, emission, exposure and absorption. - Physical, chemical and biological analysis of human exposure from single and multiple media and routes; control and protection. - Bioinformatics. - Probabilistic methods in ecology and population biology. - Epidemiological investigations. - Models using stochastic differential equations stochastic or partial differential equations. - Hazardous waste site characterization.
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