Keeping it Authentic: The Social Footprint of the Trolls Network

Ori Swed, Sachith Dassanayaka, Dimitri Volchenkov
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Abstract

In 2016, a network of social media accounts animated by Russian operatives attempted to divert political discourse within the American public around the presidential elections. This was a coordinated effort, part of a Russian-led complex information operation. Utilizing the anonymity and outreach of social media platforms Russian operatives created an online astroturf that is in direct contact with regular Americans, promoting Russian agenda and goals. The elusiveness of this type of adversarial approach rendered security agencies helpless, stressing the unique challenges this type of intervention presents. Building on existing scholarship on the functions within influence networks on social media, we suggest a new approach to map those types of operations. We argue that pretending to be legitimate social actors obliges the network to adhere to social expectations, leaving a social footprint. To test the robustness of this social footprint we train artificial intelligence to identify it and create a predictive model. We use Twitter data identified as part of the Russian influence network for training the artificial intelligence and to test the prediction. Our model attains 88% prediction accuracy for the test set. Testing our prediction on two additional models results in 90.7% and 90.5% accuracy, validating our model. The predictive and validation results suggest that building a machine learning model around social functions within the Russian influence network can be used to map its actors and functions.
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保持真实性:巨魔网络的社会足迹
2016 年,一个由俄罗斯特工操控的社交媒体账户网络试图围绕总统选举转移美国公众的政治言论。这是一次协调一致的努力,是俄罗斯主导的复杂信息行动的一部分。俄罗斯特工利用社交媒体平台的匿名性和外联性,创建了一个与普通美国人间接接触的在线 "哮喘草皮",宣传俄罗斯的议程和目标。这种对抗性方法的巨大威力让安全机构束手无策,强调了这种干预方式所带来的独特挑战。在社交媒体影响网络内部功能的现有学术研究基础上,我们提出了一种新的方法来绘制这些类型的行动图。我们认为,假装成合法的社会行动者会迫使网络遵守社会期望,从而留下社会足迹。为了测试这种社会足迹的稳健性,我们训练人工智能对其进行识别,并创建了一个预测模型。我们使用作为俄罗斯影响力网络一部分的 Twitter 数据来训练人工智能并测试预测结果。我们的模型在测试集上达到了 88% 的预测准确率。在另外两个模型上测试我们的预测结果,准确率分别为 90.7% 和 90.5%,验证了我们的模型。预测和验证结果表明,围绕俄罗斯影响力网络中的社会功能建立机器学习模型可用于映射其参与者和功能。
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