Exact solution for a discrete-time SIR model

Márcia Lemos-Silva, Sandra Vaz, Delfim F. M. Torres
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Abstract

We propose a nonstandard finite difference scheme for the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) continuous model. We prove that our discretized system is dynamically consistent with its continuous counterpart and we derive its exact solution. We end with the analysis of the long-term behavior of susceptible, infected and removed individuals, illustrating our results with examples. In contrast with the SIR discrete-time model available in the literature, our new model is simultaneously mathematically and biologically sound.
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离散时间 SIR 模型的精确解
我们针对易感-感染-移除(SIR)连续模型提出了一种非标准有限差分方案。我们证明了我们的离散化系统与其连续对应系统在动态上是一致的,并推导出了其精确解。最后,我们分析了易感个体、受感染个体和被移除个体的长期行为,并用实例说明了我们的结果。与文献中的 SIR 离散时模型相比,我们的新模型在数学和生物学上都是合理的。
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