Frontiers | A perspective on the need for integrated frameworks linking species distribution and dynamic forest landscape models across spatial scales

IF 2.4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI:10.3389/fevo.2024.1112712
Anouschka R. Hof, Marco Mina, Paola Mairota, Francisco Aguilar, Georg Leitinger, Josef Brůna, Matti Koivula, Matija Klopčič, Jörgen Sjögren, Giorgio Vacchiano
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Abstract

Climate change significantly alters species distributions. Numerous studies project the future distribution of species using Species Distribution models (SDMs), most often using coarse resolutions. Working at coarse resolutions in forest ecosystems fails to capture landscape-level dynamics, spatially explicit processes, and temporally defined events that act at finer resolutions and that can disproportionately affect future outcomes. Dynamic Forest Landscape Models (FLMs) can simulate the survival, growth, and mortality of (stands of) trees over long time periods at small resolutions. However, as they are able to simulate at fine resolutions, study landscapes remain relatively small due to computational constraints. The large amount of feedbacks between biodiversity, forest, and ecosystem processes cannot completely be captured by FLMs or SDMs alone. Integrating SDMs with FLMs enables a more detailed understanding of the impact of perturbations on forest landscapes and their biodiversity. Several studies have used this approach at landscape scales, using fine resolutions. Yet, many scientific questions in the fields of biogeography, macroecology, conservation management, among others, require a focus on both large scales and fine resolutions. Here, drawn from literature and experience, we provide our perspective on the most important challenges that need to be overcome to use integrated frameworks at spatial scales larger than the landscape and at fine resolutions. Future research should prioritize these challenges to better understand drivers of species distributions in forest ecosystems and effectively design conservation strategies under the influence of changing climates on spatially and temporally explicit processes. We further discuss possibilities to address these challenges.
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前沿 | 从需要建立跨空间尺度的物种分布与动态森林景观模型相结合的综合框架的角度看问题
气候变化极大地改变了物种的分布。许多研究使用物种分布模型(SDMs)预测物种的未来分布,这些模型通常使用较低的分辨率。在森林生态系统中使用粗分辨率无法捕捉到景观层面的动态、空间明确的过程以及时间明确的事件,而这些在更精细的分辨率下发生作用,会对未来的结果产生不成比例的影响。动态森林景观模型(FLMs)能以较小的分辨率模拟(林分)树木在较长时间内的存活、生长和死亡。然而,由于能够以较小的分辨率进行模拟,受计算能力的限制,研究的景观仍然相对较小。仅靠 FLM 或 SDM 无法完全捕捉生物多样性、森林和生态系统过程之间的大量反馈。将 SDM 与 FLM 相结合,可以更详细地了解扰动对森林景观及其生物多样性的影响。一些研究已经在景观尺度上使用了这种方法,并采用了精细的分辨率。然而,生物地理学、宏观生态学、保护管理等领域的许多科学问题都需要同时关注大尺度和精细分辨率。在此,我们从文献和经验中汲取营养,提出了在大于景观的空间尺度和精细分辨率下使用综合框架需要克服的最重要挑战。未来的研究应优先考虑这些挑战,以便更好地了解森林生态系统中物种分布的驱动因素,并在气候变化对空间和时间明确过程的影响下有效地设计保护策略。我们将进一步讨论应对这些挑战的可能性。
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution Environmental Science-Ecology
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
6.70%
发文量
1143
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution publishes rigorously peer-reviewed research across fundamental and applied sciences, to provide ecological and evolutionary insights into our natural and anthropogenic world, and how it should best be managed. Field Chief Editor Mark A. Elgar at the University of Melbourne is supported by an outstanding Editorial Board of international researchers. This multidisciplinary open-access journal is at the forefront of disseminating and communicating scientific knowledge and impactful discoveries to researchers, academics and the public worldwide. Eminent biologist and theist Theodosius Dobzhansky’s astute observation that “Nothing in biology makes sense except in the light of evolution” has arguably even broader relevance now than when it was first penned in The American Biology Teacher in 1973. One could similarly argue that not much in evolution makes sense without recourse to ecological concepts: understanding diversity — from microbial adaptations to species assemblages — requires insights from both ecological and evolutionary disciplines. Nowadays, technological developments from other fields allow us to address unprecedented ecological and evolutionary questions of astonishing detail, impressive breadth and compelling inference. The specialty sections of Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution will publish, under a single platform, contemporary, rigorous research, reviews, opinions, and commentaries that cover the spectrum of ecological and evolutionary inquiry, both fundamental and applied. Articles are peer-reviewed according to the Frontiers review guidelines, which evaluate manuscripts on objective editorial criteria. Through this unique, Frontiers platform for open-access publishing and research networking, Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution aims to provide colleagues and the broader community with ecological and evolutionary insights into our natural and anthropogenic world, and how it might best be managed.
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