{"title":"Adverse Events as a Cause of Unblinding of Allocated Arms in Anti-Amyloid Therapy Trials: A Meta-Analysis of the Predictive Value.","authors":"Kenichiro Sato,Yoshiki Niimi,Ryoko Ihara,Atsushi Iwata,Takeshi Iwatsubo","doi":"10.3233/jad-240623","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Anti-amyloid drugs for early Alzheimer's disease, including lecanemab, are associated with adverse events (AEs), such as amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA)-edema/effusion (E), ARIA-hemorrhage, and infusion-related reactions, which can indicate allocated arms in clinical trials. Herein, we evaluated the predictive value of AEs using a meta-analysis to estimate their incidence and simulated positive predictive value (PPV). The PPV for ARIA-E was high (0.915), but that for ARIA hemorrhage was low (0.630). Infusion-related reactions had a high PPV of 0.910, but with a wide confidence interval. Our results suggest the need to ameliorate the unblinding effects of AEs, particularly ARIA-E in trials.","PeriodicalId":14929,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Alzheimer's Disease","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Alzheimer's Disease","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3233/jad-240623","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"NEUROSCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Anti-amyloid drugs for early Alzheimer's disease, including lecanemab, are associated with adverse events (AEs), such as amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA)-edema/effusion (E), ARIA-hemorrhage, and infusion-related reactions, which can indicate allocated arms in clinical trials. Herein, we evaluated the predictive value of AEs using a meta-analysis to estimate their incidence and simulated positive predictive value (PPV). The PPV for ARIA-E was high (0.915), but that for ARIA hemorrhage was low (0.630). Infusion-related reactions had a high PPV of 0.910, but with a wide confidence interval. Our results suggest the need to ameliorate the unblinding effects of AEs, particularly ARIA-E in trials.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Alzheimer''s Disease (JAD) is an international multidisciplinary journal to facilitate progress in understanding the etiology, pathogenesis, epidemiology, genetics, behavior, treatment and psychology of Alzheimer''s disease. The journal publishes research reports, reviews, short communications, hypotheses, ethics reviews, book reviews, and letters-to-the-editor. The journal is dedicated to providing an open forum for original research that will expedite our fundamental understanding of Alzheimer''s disease.
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