Monetary policy and equity returns: The role of investor risk aversion

Licheng Zhang
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Abstract

This article examines the role of investor risk aversion in the transmission of monetary policy to stock returns based on U.S. data. Our results show that following an expansionary monetary policy shock, investor risk aversion falls, leading to a decrease in the equity risk premium and an increase in equity returns. Moreover, the returns of high‐beta stocks increase much more than those of low‐beta stocks. Finally, we investigate the mechanism through mutual fund flows. We find that high‐beta funds attract greater inflows in response to lower interest rates, and there is a positive relationship between fund returns and flows. Our findings have policy implications for financial stability.
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货币政策与股票回报:投资者风险规避的作用
本文基于美国数据研究了投资者风险规避在货币政策向股票回报率传导过程中的作用。我们的研究结果表明,在扩张性货币政策冲击之后,投资者的风险规避下降,从而导致股票风险溢价下降,股票回报率上升。此外,高贝塔股票的收益率增幅远大于低贝塔股票。最后,我们研究了共同基金流动的机制。我们发现,高贝塔基金在利率降低时会吸引更多资金流入,而且基金回报与资金流量之间存在正相关关系。我们的研究结果对金融稳定具有政策意义。
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