{"title":"Predicting offensive sector entry during transition moments in soccer","authors":"Vasilis Armatas","doi":"10.1177/17543371241279576","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Transitions, rapid attacks after regaining possession, are a potent weapon, yet their lower frequency compared to organized attacks highlights a need for understanding factors that influence their success, particularly regarding offensive sector entry. This study investigates factors influencing the success of transitions, with a specific focus on predicting their ability to penetrate the opponent’s offensive sector. We analyzed 1911 ball recoveries from the 2018 to 2019 Greek SuperLeague. Chi-squared tests and binary logistic regression were employed to examine the influence of recovery type, number of defenders, passing patterns (including penetrative passes), and other variables on successful transitions. Our findings reveal that the likelihood of entering the offensive sector significantly increased when the ball was recovered in advanced areas, against fewer defenders, involved a high proportion of penetrative passes, and had a longer offensive sequence duration. This model provides a framework for predicting offensive sector entry during transitions, offering valuable insights for coaches seeking to optimize training drills and maximize transitional effectiveness.","PeriodicalId":20674,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17543371241279576","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Transitions, rapid attacks after regaining possession, are a potent weapon, yet their lower frequency compared to organized attacks highlights a need for understanding factors that influence their success, particularly regarding offensive sector entry. This study investigates factors influencing the success of transitions, with a specific focus on predicting their ability to penetrate the opponent’s offensive sector. We analyzed 1911 ball recoveries from the 2018 to 2019 Greek SuperLeague. Chi-squared tests and binary logistic regression were employed to examine the influence of recovery type, number of defenders, passing patterns (including penetrative passes), and other variables on successful transitions. Our findings reveal that the likelihood of entering the offensive sector significantly increased when the ball was recovered in advanced areas, against fewer defenders, involved a high proportion of penetrative passes, and had a longer offensive sequence duration. This model provides a framework for predicting offensive sector entry during transitions, offering valuable insights for coaches seeking to optimize training drills and maximize transitional effectiveness.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology covers the development of novel sports apparel, footwear, and equipment; and the materials, instrumentation, and processes that make advances in sports possible.