Increased Significance of Global Concurrent Hazards From 1981 to 2020

IF 7.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Earths Future Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI:10.1029/2024EF004490
Yilei Xu, Qiang Dai, Jingxuan Zhu, Yuanzhi Yao, Jun Zhang, Wenhui Li, Shaonan Zhu, Tongxiao Zeng, Yecheng Xu, Dawei Han
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Abstract

The spatiotemporal overlap of multiple hazards defines what we call concurrent hazards, which usually cause more severe damage than what an isolated hazard would. Investigations of concurrent hazards at the global scale are limited. Here we first developed a novel criterion system for identifying concurrent hazards and then recognized 1,614 concurrent hazards during 1981–2020 from the 121,214 records including earthquake, storm, landslide, volcanic, wildfire and flood. Sixteen hot spot regions suffering from concurrent hazards were recognized for the first time at the global scale. By comparing two periods, 1981–2000 and 2001–2020, we found that the gross relative impact (economic damage and death) of concurrent hazards has considerably aggravated (6.3–117.0 times) in the past two decades. The low-income regions suffer more prominent increase (mostly 2–3 times of high-income regions), implying the inequitable patterns of concurrent hazard impact due to socioeconomic development. This spatial disparity entails the establishment of multidisciplinary and cross-regional collaborations in mitigating the impact of concurrent hazards.

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1981 至 2020 年全球并发危害的重要性增加
多种灾害在时空上的重叠决定了我们所说的并发灾害,它通常比孤立的灾害造成更严重的破坏。在全球范围内,对并发灾害的研究十分有限。在此,我们首先开发了一套新颖的并发灾害识别标准系统,然后从 121 214 条记录中识别出 1981-2020 年间的 1 614 种并发灾害,包括地震、风暴、滑坡、火山、野火和洪水。首次在全球范围内确认了 16 个遭受并发灾害的热点地区。通过比较 1981-2000 年和 2001-2020 年两个时期,我们发现并发灾害的总相对影响(经济损失和死亡人数)在过去 20 年中显著加剧(6.3-117.0 倍)。低收入地区的增长更为显著(多为高收入地区的 2-3 倍),这意味着社会经济发展导致了并发灾害影响模式的不公平。这种空间差异要求建立多学科和跨区域的合作,以减轻并发灾害的影响。
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来源期刊
Earths Future
Earths Future ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCESGEOSCIENCES, MULTIDI-GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
7.30%
发文量
260
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊介绍: Earth’s Future: A transdisciplinary open access journal, Earth’s Future focuses on the state of the Earth and the prediction of the planet’s future. By publishing peer-reviewed articles as well as editorials, essays, reviews, and commentaries, this journal will be the preeminent scholarly resource on the Anthropocene. It will also help assess the risks and opportunities associated with environmental changes and challenges.
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