Measuring financial stability in the presence of energy shocks

IF 13.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Energy Economics Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107922
Javier Sánchez-García , Raffaele Mattera , Salvador Cruz-Rambaud , Roy Cerqueti
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Abstract

The Russia–Ukraine conflict highlighted how important energy is for the surveillance of economies worldwide. Both war and economic sanctions inevitably affected energy-related commodity prices. Although shocks in energy commodities are known to have an effect on financial stability, this information is not included in existing financial stability indicators. In this paper, we first provide empirical evidence on the existing relationship between energy-related commodities and financial stability in the EU, UK and US, as well as their importance in the forecast of economic downturns. Based on this evidence, we propose a new composite indicator of financial stability which incorporates relevant information from the energy markets. The suitability of the new composite indicator is assessed by its ability to track financial, economic, and energy crises.

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衡量能源冲击下的金融稳定性
俄乌冲突凸显了能源对全球经济监控的重要性。战争和经济制裁都不可避免地影响了与能源相关的商品价格。尽管众所周知能源商品的冲击会对金融稳定产生影响,但现有的金融稳定指标并未包含这一信息。在本文中,我们首先提供了欧盟、英国和美国能源相关商品与金融稳定之间现有关系的实证证据,以及它们在预测经济衰退中的重要性。在此基础上,我们提出了一个新的金融稳定性综合指标,其中纳入了能源市场的相关信息。新综合指标的适用性通过其跟踪金融、经济和能源危机的能力进行评估。
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来源期刊
Energy Economics
Energy Economics ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
18.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
524
期刊介绍: Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.
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