Benchmarking Human–AI collaboration for common evidence appraisal tools

IF 7.3 2区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Journal of Clinical Epidemiology Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2024.111533
Tim Woelfle , Julian Hirt , Perrine Janiaud , Ludwig Kappos , John P.A. Ioannidis , Lars G. Hemkens
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Abstract

Background and Objective

It is unknown whether large language models (LLMs) may facilitate time- and resource-intensive text-related processes in evidence appraisal. The objective was to quantify the agreement of LLMs with human consensus in appraisal of scientific reporting (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses [PRISMA]) and methodological rigor (A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews [AMSTAR]) of systematic reviews and design of clinical trials (PRagmatic Explanatory Continuum Indicator Summary 2 [PRECIS-2]) and to identify areas where collaboration between humans and artificial intelligence (AI) would outperform the traditional consensus process of human raters in efficiency.

Study Design and Setting

Five LLMs (Claude-3-Opus, Claude-2, GPT-4, GPT-3.5, Mixtral-8x22B) assessed 112 systematic reviews applying the PRISMA and AMSTAR criteria and 56 randomized controlled trials applying PRECIS-2. We quantified the agreement between human consensus and (1) individual human raters; (2) individual LLMs; (3) combined LLMs approach; (4) human–AI collaboration. Ratings were marked as deferred (undecided) in case of inconsistency between combined LLMs or between the human rater and the LLM.

Results

Individual human rater accuracy was 89% for PRISMA and AMSTAR, and 75% for PRECIS-2. Individual LLM accuracy was ranging from 63% (GPT-3.5) to 70% (Claude-3-Opus) for PRISMA, 53% (GPT-3.5) to 74% (Claude-3-Opus) for AMSTAR, and 38% (GPT-4) to 55% (GPT-3.5) for PRECIS-2. Combined LLM ratings led to accuracies of 75%–88% for PRISMA (4%–74% deferred), 74%–89% for AMSTAR (6%–84% deferred), and 64%–79% for PRECIS-2 (29%–88% deferred). Human–AI collaboration resulted in the best accuracies from 89% to 96% for PRISMA (25/35% deferred), 91%–95% for AMSTAR (27/30% deferred), and 80%–86% for PRECIS-2 (76/71% deferred).

Conclusion

Current LLMs alone appraised evidence worse than humans. Human–AI collaboration may reduce workload for the second human rater for the assessment of reporting (PRISMA) and methodological rigor (AMSTAR) but not for complex tasks such as PRECIS-2.

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以人类与人工智能合作为基准,开发通用证据评估工具。
背景:大语言模型(LLMs)是否能促进证据评估中与文本相关的时间和资源密集型流程尚不清楚:量化大型语言模型与人类共识在科学报告评估(PRISMA)和系统综述方法严谨性(AMSTAR)以及临床试验设计(PRECIS-2)方面的一致性。确定在哪些领域,人类与人工智能的合作将在效率上优于传统的人类评审员共识流程:设计:五位 LLM(Claude-3-Opus、Claude-2、GPT-4、GPT-3.5、Mixtral-8x22B)采用 PRISMA 和 AMSTAR 标准评估了 112 篇系统综述,并采用 PRECIS-2 评估了 56 项随机对照试验。我们量化了人类共识与 (1) 单个人类评分者;(2) 单个 LLMs;(3) LLMs 组合方法;(4) 人类与人工智能合作之间的一致性。在综合 LLMs 之间或人类评分者与 LLM 之间出现不一致时,评分被标记为推迟(未决定):PRISMA和AMSTAR的人类评分者个人准确率为89%,PRECIS-2为75%。PRISMA 的单个 LLM 准确率从 63% (GPT-3.5) 到 70% (Claude-3-Opus)不等,AMSTAR 的单个 LLM 准确率从 53% (GPT-3.5) 到 74% (Claude-3-Opus)不等,PRECIS-2 的单个 LLM 准确率从 38% (GPT-4) 到 55% (GPT-3.5)不等。综合 LLM 评级使 PRISMA 的准确率达到 75-88%(4-74% 延迟),AMSTAR 的准确率达到 74-89%(6-84% 延迟),PRECIS-2 的准确率达到 64-79%(29-88% 延迟)。人类与人工智能合作的最佳准确率为:PRISMA 89-96%(25/35%延迟),AMSTAR 91-95%(27/30%延迟),PRECIS-2 80-86%(76/71%延迟):结论:目前的 LLMs 对证据的单独评估不如人类。在评估报告(PRISMA)和方法论严谨性(AMSTAR)时,人类与人工智能的合作可以减轻第二位人类评审员的工作量,但在评估 PRECIS-2 等复杂任务时则无法减轻工作量。
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来源期刊
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
12.00
自引率
6.90%
发文量
320
审稿时长
44 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Clinical Epidemiology strives to enhance the quality of clinical and patient-oriented healthcare research by advancing and applying innovative methods in conducting, presenting, synthesizing, disseminating, and translating research results into optimal clinical practice. Special emphasis is placed on training new generations of scientists and clinical practice leaders.
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