Statin, aspirin and metformin use and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma related outcomes following liver transplantation: A retrospective study.

William Chung, Kevin Wong, Noel Ravindranayagam, Lauren Tang, Josephine Grace, Darren Wong, Danny Con, Marie Sinclair, Avik Majumdar, Numan Kutaiba, Samuel Hui, Paul Gow, Vijayaragavan Muralidharan, Alexander Dobrovic, Adam Testro
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Abstract

Background: Liver transplantation (LT) is a potentially curative therapy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HCC-recurrence following LT is associated with reduced survival. There is increasing interest in chemoprophylaxis to improve HCC-related outcomes post-LT.

Aim: To investigate whether there is any benefit for the use of drugs with proposed chemoprophylactic properties against HCC, and patient outcomes following LT.

Methods: This was a retrospective study of adult patients who received Deceased Donor LT for HCC from 2005-2022, from a single Australian centre. Drug use was defined as statin, aspirin or metformin therapy for ≥ 29 days, within 24 months post-LT. A cox proportional-hazards model with time-dependent covariates was used for survival analysis. Outcome measures were the composite-endpoint of HCC-recurrence and all-cause mortality, HCC-recurrence and HCC-related mortality. Sensitivity analysis was performed to account for immortality time bias and statin dosing.

Results: Three hundred and five patients were included in this study, with 253 (82.95%) males with a median age of 58.90 years. Aetiologies of liver disease were 150 (49.18%) hepatitis C, 73 (23.93%) hepatitis B (HBV) and 33 (10.82%) non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). 56 (18.36%) took statins, 51 (16.72%) aspirin and 50 (16.39%) metformin. During a median follow-up time of 59.90 months, 34 (11.15%) developed HCC-recurrence, 48 (15.74%) died, 17 (5.57%) from HCC-related mortality. Statin, aspirin or metformin use was not associated with statistically significant differences in the composite endpoint of HCC-recurrence or all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR): 1.16, 95%CI: 0.58-2.30; HR: 1.21, 95%CI: 0.28-5.27; HR: 0.61, 95%CI: 0.27-1.36], HCC-recurrence (HR: 0.52, 95%CI: 0.20-1.35; HR: 0.51, 95%CI: 0.14-1.93; HR 1.00, 95%CI: 0.37-2.72), or HCC-related mortality (HR: 0.32, 95%CI: 0.033-3.09; HR: 0.71, 95%CI: 0.14-3.73; HR: 1.57, 95%CI: 0.61-4.04) respectively. Statin dosing was not associated with statistically significant differences in HCC-related outcomes.

Conclusion: Statin, metformin or aspirin use was not associated with improved HCC-related outcomes post-LT, in a largely historical cohort of Australian patients with a low proportion of NAFLD. Further prospective, multicentre studies are required to clarify any potential benefit of these drugs to improve HCC-related outcomes.

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他汀类药物、阿司匹林和二甲双胍的使用与肝移植后肝细胞癌相关结果的风险:一项回顾性研究。
背景:肝移植(LT)是肝细胞癌(HCC)患者的一种潜在治愈疗法。肝移植后HCC复发与生存率降低有关。目的:研究使用具有化学预防HCC作用的药物是否对LT后患者的预后有益:这是一项回顾性研究,研究对象是2005-2022年期间在澳大利亚一家中心接受过死神捐献LT治疗HCC的成年患者。在LT术后24个月内,他汀类药物、阿司匹林或二甲双胍的使用时间≥29天。生存分析采用了具有时间依赖性协变量的考克斯比例危险模型。结果指标为HCC复发与全因死亡率、HCC复发与HCC相关死亡率的复合终点。进行了敏感性分析,以考虑不死时间偏差和他汀类药物剂量:本研究共纳入 355 例患者,其中 253 例(82.95%)为男性,中位年龄为 58.90 岁。肝病病因包括 150 例(49.18%)丙型肝炎、73 例(23.93%)乙型肝炎(HBV)和 33 例(10.82%)非酒精性脂肪肝(NAFLD)。56人(18.36%)服用他汀类药物,51人(16.72%)服用阿司匹林,50人(16.39%)服用二甲双胍。中位随访时间为 59.90 个月,其中 34 人(11.15%)出现 HCC 复发,48 人(15.74%)死亡,17 人(5.57%)死于 HCC 相关死亡。他汀类药物、阿司匹林或二甲双胍的使用与 HCC 复发或全因死亡率的复合终点差异无统计学意义[危险比 (HR):1.16,95%CI:0.58-2.30;HR:1.21,95%CI:0.28-5.27;HR:0.61,95%CI:0.27-1.36]、HCC-复发(HR:0.52,95%CI:0.20-1.35;HR:0.51,95%CI:0.14-1.93;HR 1.00,95%CI:0.37-2.72)或HCC相关死亡率(HR:0.32,95%CI:0.033-3.09;HR:0.71,95%CI:0.14-3.73;HR:1.57,95%CI:0.61-4.04)。他汀类药物的剂量与HCC相关结果的统计学差异无关:结论:在非酒精性脂肪肝比例较低的澳大利亚患者队列中,他汀类药物、二甲双胍或阿司匹林的使用与LT后HCC相关结果的改善无关。需要进一步开展前瞻性多中心研究,以明确这些药物对改善HCC相关预后的潜在益处。
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