Mathematical modeling and strategy for optimal control of diphtheria

Hicham Gourram , Mohamed Baroudi , Issam Sahib , Abderrahim Labzai , Khalid Herradi , Mohamed Belam
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Abstract

This research introduces a novel approach to combating diphtheria by presenting a comprehensive optimal control strategy focused on awareness campaigns to avoid direct contact with infected individuals and promote vaccinations. These campaigns highlight the severe complications of diphtheria, such as acute respiratory issues, myocarditis, and neurological paralysis. Additionally, the campaigns emphasize the negative impacts of an unbalanced lifestyle and environmental factors, as well as the importance of timely treatment and psychological support. The model aims to improve control strategies by reducing the number of infected individuals I(t) and exposed individuals E(t), as well as asymptomatic carriers A(t), which we have integrated into the model as an aspect that has been relatively unexplored in diphtheria transmission. The optimal controls are meticulously determined using Pontryagin’s maximum principle. The resulting optimality system is solved iteratively, ensuring precision and clarity in the results. Extensive numerical simulations rigorously support and confirm the theoretical analysis using MATLAB, providing concrete evidence of the strategy’s effectiveness. The broader implications and potential applications of this optimal control strategy extend to other infectious diseases, enhancing its relevance and utility in public health.
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白喉的数学建模和优化控制策略
这项研究介绍了一种防治白喉的新方法,提出了一种全面的优化控制策略,重点是开展宣传活动,避免与感染者直接接触,并推广疫苗接种。这些宣传活动强调了白喉的严重并发症,如急性呼吸道疾病、心肌炎和神经性瘫痪。此外,宣传活动还强调了不平衡的生活方式和环境因素的负面影响,以及及时治疗和心理支持的重要性。该模型旨在通过减少感染者 I(t) 和暴露者 E(t) 以及无症状携带者 A(t) 的数量来改进控制策略。我们利用庞特里亚金的最大值原理精心确定了最优控制。由此产生的优化系统经过迭代求解,确保了结果的精确性和清晰度。利用 MATLAB 进行的大量数值模拟严格支持并证实了理论分析,为该策略的有效性提供了具体证据。这一最优控制策略的广泛影响和潜在应用还可扩展到其他传染病,从而增强了其在公共卫生领域的相关性和实用性。
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来源期刊
Results in Control and Optimization
Results in Control and Optimization Mathematics-Control and Optimization
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
51
审稿时长
91 days
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