Wealth Over Woe: Global Biases in Hydro-Hazard Research

IF 7.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Earths Future Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI:10.1029/2024EF004590
Lina Stein, S. Karthik Mukkavilli, Birgit M. Pfitzmann, Peter W. J. Staar, Ugur Ozturk, Cesar Berrospi, Thomas Brunschwiler, Thorsten Wagener
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Abstract

Floods, droughts, and rainfall-induced landslides are hydro-hazards that affect millions of people every year. Anticipation, mitigation, and adaptation to these hazards is increasingly outpaced by their changing magnitude and frequency due to climate change. A key question for society is whether the research we pursue has the potential to address knowledge gaps and to reduce potential future hazard impacts where they will be most severe. We use natural language processing, based on a new climate hazard taxonomy, to review, identify, and geolocate out of 100 million abstracts those that deal with hydro-hazards. We find that the spatial distribution of study areas is mostly defined by human activity, national wealth, data availability, and population distribution. Hydro-hazard events that impact large numbers of people lead to increased research activity, but with a strong disparity between low- and high-income countries. We find that 100 times more people need to be affected by hazards before low-income countries reach comparable research activity to high-income countries. This “Wealth over Woe” bias needs to be addressed by enabling and targeting research on hydro-hazards in highly impacted and under-researched regions, or in those sufficiently socio-hydrologically similar. We urgently need to reduce knowledge base biases to mitigate and adapt to changing hydro-hazards if we want to achieve a sustainable and equitable future for all global citizens.

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富贵险中求:水灾研究中的全球偏见
洪水、干旱和降雨引发的山体滑坡是每年影响数百万人的水文灾害。由于气候变化,这些灾害的严重程度和发生频率不断变化,对这些灾害的预测、缓解和适应工作越来越力不从心。社会面临的一个关键问题是,我们所从事的研究是否有可能填补知识空白,并在灾害最严重的地方减少未来潜在的灾害影响。我们根据新的气候灾害分类法,使用自然语言处理技术,从 1 亿份摘要中审查、识别并地理定位了涉及水文灾害的内容。我们发现,研究区域的空间分布主要由人类活动、国家财富、数据可用性和人口分布决定。影响大量人口的水灾事件导致研究活动增加,但低收入国家和高收入国家之间的差距很大。我们发现,在低收入国家的研究活动达到与高收入国家相当的水平之前,受灾害影响的人口需要多出 100 倍。要解决这种 "富贵险中求 "的偏差,就必须在受影响严重、研究不足的地区,或在社会水文条件足够相似的地区开展水灾研究,并有的放矢。如果我们想为所有全球公民实现可持续和公平的未来,我们就迫切需要减少知识基础的偏差,以减轻和适应不断变化的水灾。
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来源期刊
Earths Future
Earths Future ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCESGEOSCIENCES, MULTIDI-GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
7.30%
发文量
260
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊介绍: Earth’s Future: A transdisciplinary open access journal, Earth’s Future focuses on the state of the Earth and the prediction of the planet’s future. By publishing peer-reviewed articles as well as editorials, essays, reviews, and commentaries, this journal will be the preeminent scholarly resource on the Anthropocene. It will also help assess the risks and opportunities associated with environmental changes and challenges.
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