Why did COVID-19 affect some cities more than others? Insights from Brazil before vaccination

IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Regional Science Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI:10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100138
Juan Pablo Chauvin
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Abstract

This paper examines the local impact of COVID-19 in 2,500 cities in Brazil, contrasting findings with existing international estimates. It shows that pre-pandemic city characteristics have time-varying correlations with COVID-19 deaths per capita in Brazil and that the evolution of these correlations can differ significantly from other countries. Some patterns, such as the association between population density and mortality, are consistent across international experiences. However, in contrast to the U.S. but consistent with studies in China, Italy, and other European countries, the pandemic in Brazil took a greater toll on cities with higher income levels. This is consistent with the fact that higher incomes correlate with greater mobility in Brazil. Other city characteristics, such as the presence of slums and high residential crowding, also correlate with higher death rates per capita in Brazil. Nonetheless, these vulnerabilities do not appear to be driven by mobility differences, as people in cities with these characteristics had a greater propensity to stay home.
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为什么 COVID-19 对某些城市的影响比其他城市更大?巴西疫苗接种前的启示
本文研究了 COVID-19 在巴西 2,500 个城市中对当地的影响,并将研究结果与现有的国际估计结果进行了对比。结果表明,疫情流行前的城市特征与巴西 COVID-19 的人均死亡人数存在时变相关性,而且这些相关性的演变与其他国家可能存在显著差异。有些模式,如人口密度与死亡率之间的关系,在国际经验中是一致的。然而,与美国不同,但与中国、意大利和其他欧洲国家的研究结果一致的是,巴西的大流行病对收入水平较高的城市造成了更大的损失。这与巴西收入越高流动性越大的事实是一致的。其他城市特征,如贫民窟的存在和居住拥挤程度高,也与巴西人均死亡率较高有关。然而,这些脆弱性似乎并不是由流动性差异造成的,因为在具有这些特征的城市中,人们更倾向于留在家中。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
5.90%
发文量
92
期刊介绍: Regional Science Policy & Practice (RSPP) is the official policy and practitioner orientated journal of the Regional Science Association International. It is an international journal that publishes high quality papers in applied regional science that explore policy and practice issues in regional and local development. It welcomes papers from a range of academic disciplines and practitioners including planning, public policy, geography, economics and environmental science and related fields. Papers should address the interface between academic debates and policy development and application. RSPP provides an opportunity for academics and policy makers to develop a dialogue to identify and explore many of the challenges facing local and regional economies.
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