Let decision-makers direct the search for robust solutions: An interactive framework for multiobjective robust optimization under deep uncertainty

IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Environmental Modelling & Software Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106233
Babooshka Shavazipour , Jan H. Kwakkel , Kaisa Miettinen
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Abstract

The robust decision-making framework (RDM) has been extended to consider multiple objective functions and scenarios. However, the practical applications of these extensions are mostly limited to academic case studies. The main reasons are: (i) substantial cognitive load in tracking all the trade-offs across scenarios and the interplay between uncertainties and trade-offs, (ii) lack of decision-makers’ involvement in solution generation and confidence. To address these problems, this study proposes a novel interactive framework involving decision-makers in searching for the most preferred robust solutions utilizing interactive multiobjective optimization methods. The proposed interactive framework provides a learning phase for decision-makers to discover the problem characteristics, the feasibility of their preferences, and how uncertainty may affect the outcomes of a decision. This involvement and learning allow them to control and direct the multiobjective search during the solution generation process, boosting their confidence and assurance in implementing the identified robust solutions in practice.
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让决策者指导寻找稳健的解决方案:深度不确定性下多目标稳健优化的互动框架
稳健决策框架(RDM)已被扩展到考虑多种目标函数和情景。然而,这些扩展的实际应用大多局限于学术案例研究。主要原因如下(i) 追踪不同情景下的所有权衡以及不确定性和权衡之间的相互作用会带来巨大的认知负担,(ii) 决策者缺乏对解决方案生成的参与和信心。为解决这些问题,本研究提出了一个新颖的互动框架,让决策者参与进来,利用互动多目标优化方法寻找最可取的稳健解决方案。所提出的互动框架为决策者提供了一个学习阶段,让他们发现问题的特点、其偏好的可行性,以及不确定性如何影响决策结果。这种参与和学习使他们能够在解决方案生成过程中控制和指导多目标搜索,从而增强他们在实践中实施所确定的稳健解决方案的信心和保证。
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来源期刊
Environmental Modelling & Software
Environmental Modelling & Software 工程技术-工程:环境
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
8.20%
发文量
241
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Environmental Modelling & Software publishes contributions, in the form of research articles, reviews and short communications, on recent advances in environmental modelling and/or software. The aim is to improve our capacity to represent, understand, predict or manage the behaviour of environmental systems at all practical scales, and to communicate those improvements to a wide scientific and professional audience.
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