Fuzzy Bayesian inference for under-five mortality data

M.K. Mwanga , S.S. Mirau , J.M. Tchuenche , I.S. Mbalawata
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Abstract

Under-five mortality remains a significant global health challenge, with millions of children dying before their fifth birthday each year. This study explores the application of fuzzy Bayesian inference for under-five mortality data using Tanzania as a case study. Fuzzy Bayesian inference has emerged as a promising technique that combines the flexibility of fuzzy set theory with the probabilistic framework of Bayesian inference. The study employs fuzzy sets and membership functions to represent the linguistic terms and their degrees of membership, along with the Poisson distribution to model the mortality rate. The results demonstrate the potential of fuzzy Bayesian inference for analyzing under-five mortality rates. This approach provides a more nuanced understanding of the complex mortality patterns.
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五岁以下儿童死亡率数据的模糊贝叶斯推理
五岁以下儿童死亡率仍然是全球健康面临的重大挑战,每年有数百万儿童在五岁生日前死亡。本研究以坦桑尼亚为例,探讨了模糊贝叶斯推理在五岁以下儿童死亡率数据中的应用。模糊贝叶斯推理是一种很有前途的技术,它结合了模糊集理论的灵活性和贝叶斯推理的概率框架。本研究采用模糊集和成员函数来表示语言术语及其成员度,并采用泊松分布来模拟死亡率。研究结果证明了模糊贝叶斯推理在分析五岁以下儿童死亡率方面的潜力。这种方法使人们对复杂的死亡率模式有了更细致的了解。
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