Assessing rural revitalization potential through rural transformation degree and sustainability: A quantitative study of 460 case villages in Lingbao, China

IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Habitat International Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI:10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103194
Qianxi Zhang , Zhi Cao , Yansui Liu
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Abstract

Extensive international experience shows that only villages with sustainable transformation achieve rural revitalization, while those with intense but unsustainable or stagnant transformation struggle to revitalize. However, this cognition lacks robust quantitative substantiation. Therefore, we established a rural revitalization potential assessment framework based on the rural transformation degree and sustainability, employing the Penalty for a Bottleneck (PFB) method and Entropy Function to measure the rural transformation degree and sustainability of 460 villages in Lingbao City, Henan Province, China, from 2000 to 2021, thus evaluating rural revitalization potential. The Mann-Kendall (MK) test was conducted to detect rural transformation thresholds, further quantifying the spatial relationship between rural transformation degree and sustainability through bivariate spatial autocorrelation analysis (BSA). Our findings resonate with the central place theory that villages near those at advanced stages of development struggle to transform sustainably. Additionally, with the optimization of rural population density, and land use structure, these villages demonstrated a discernible upward trajectory in transformation sustainability. Villages with the highest rural revitalization potential were predominantly distributed in the northern of the Yellow River terrace, while those in the southwestern mountainous areas lacked revitalization potential due to low transformation degree. Generally, villages at higher altitudes and steeper slopes exhibited lower rural transformation degree, sustainability, and revitalization potential. With 30 km as the critical point, rural revitalization potential decreased initially and then increased with distance from the county government seat. This study provides essential references for the rational allocation of rural transformation and revitalization resources and for optimizing rural development planning.
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通过农村转型程度和可持续性评估乡村振兴潜力:中国灵宝 460 个案例村的定量研究
广泛的国际经验表明,只有可持续转型的村庄才能实现乡村振兴,而那些转型激烈但不可持续或停滞不前的村庄则难以实现振兴。然而,这一认知缺乏有力的量化证据。因此,我们建立了一个基于乡村转型程度和可持续性的乡村振兴潜力评估框架,采用瓶颈惩罚(PFB)法和熵函数来测量河南省灵宝市460个村庄从2000年到2021年的乡村转型程度和可持续性,从而评估乡村振兴潜力。通过曼-肯德尔(MK)检验检测乡村转型阈值,并通过二元空间自相关分析(BSA)进一步量化乡村转型程度与可持续性之间的空间关系。我们的研究结果与中心地理论产生了共鸣,即处于发展高级阶段的村庄附近的村庄难以实现可持续转型。此外,随着农村人口密度和土地利用结构的优化,这些村庄的转型可持续性呈现出明显的上升轨迹。乡村振兴潜力最大的村庄主要分布在黄河阶地北部,而西南山区的村庄则因转型程度低而缺乏振兴潜力。一般来说,海拔越高、坡度越陡的村庄,其农村转型程度、可持续性和振兴潜力越低。以 30 千米为临界点,乡村振兴潜力随距离县政府所在地的远近先下降后上升。本研究为合理配置乡村转型与振兴资源、优化乡村发展规划提供了重要参考。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
10.30%
发文量
151
审稿时长
38 days
期刊介绍: Habitat International is dedicated to the study of urban and rural human settlements: their planning, design, production and management. Its main focus is on urbanisation in its broadest sense in the developing world. However, increasingly the interrelationships and linkages between cities and towns in the developing and developed worlds are becoming apparent and solutions to the problems that result are urgently required. The economic, social, technological and political systems of the world are intertwined and changes in one region almost always affect other regions.
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