Research on Supply Chain Demand Prediction Model Based on LSTM

Na Na
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Abstract

The supply chain regards suppliers, producers, and consumers as an organic whole, unifying and coordinating the information flow, logistics, and capital flow of all members, and achieving the goal of win-win for all members in the overall operation of cross organization. Demand forecasting is an important factor driving the entire supply chain, and low error rates in forecasting are a common goal pursued by the industry. In order to improve the quality of demand forecasting, enhance the efficiency of supply chain operations, and leverage the important role of machine learning in the era of artificial intelligence, this paper conducts research based on LSTM. Firstly, this paper determines the objective function and constraints for supply chain demand forecasting; Then, this paper constructs a supply chain demand prediction model, based on the LSTM network structure, determine the network training method and model construction process; Finally, this paper conducts simulation experiments and result analysis, configure LSTM parameters, determine model performance evaluation indicators, and compare and analyze actual values with predicted values. The results indicate that the supply chain demand prediction model constructed in this article has very good performance and has promotional value in practice.
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基于 LSTM 的供应链需求预测模型研究
供应链将供应商、生产商和消费者视为一个有机整体,统一协调各成员的信息流、物流和资金流,在跨组织的整体运作中实现各成员共赢的目标。需求预测是驱动整个供应链的重要因素,预测误差率低是业界共同追求的目标。为了提高需求预测的质量,提升供应链运作的效率,发挥机器学习在人工智能时代的重要作用,本文基于 LSTM 进行了研究。首先,本文确定了供应链需求预测的目标函数和约束条件;然后,本文构建了供应链需求预测模型,基于 LSTM 网络结构,确定了网络训练方法和模型构建过程;最后,本文进行了仿真实验和结果分析,配置 LSTM 参数,确定模型性能评价指标,并将实际值与预测值进行对比分析。结果表明,本文构建的供应链需求预测模型具有很好的性能,在实践中具有推广价值。
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