Measured glomerular filtration rate predicts liver related deaths better than estimated glomerular filtration rate in advanced chronic liver disease

Abstract

Background & aims

Renal dysfunction is prevalent in advanced chronic liver disease (aCLD) and is associated to liver-related death (LRD). This makes a reliable evaluation of renal function (RF) a crucial aspect. RF can be estimated by formulas or measured by gold standard method. Estimated RF is not reliable in aCLD. However, there is a lack of information on the reliability of formulas in the prediction of LRD.

Methods

We analysed a cohort of patients with aCLD in whom RF was measured by the plasma clearance of iohexol (mGFR) and estimated (eGFR) by formulas: MDRD, CKD-EPI, Royal Free Hospital (RFHC), GRAIL and Mindikoglu-eGFR. LRD was defined as death from hepatic causes. Multivariable analysis was used to evaluate association of mGFR or eGFR with LRD.

Results

161 patients were evaluated, with median follow-up of 28 months, 58 died from LRD. In overall group mGFR (OR 0.99; p = 0.022) and formulas: CKD-EPI (OR 0.98; p = 0.044), GRAIL (OR 0.98; p = 0.038) was associated with LRD. In patients with normal creatinine levels (≤ 1.1 mg/dL), mGFR (OR 0.99; p = 0.031) was whereas any formula was not associated with LRD.

Conclusions

eGFR appears as an unreliable method for predicting LRDs in aCLD, especially in those with lower creatinine levels. By contrast, mGFR seems to be a superior predictor.