The influence of meteorological factors on the technical performance of football teams during matches.

IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 SPORT SCIENCES Biology of Sport Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-04-25 DOI:10.5114/biolsport.2024.136091
Yonghan Zhong, Shaoliang Zhang, Qing Yi, Miguel Ángel Gómez Ruano
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Abstract

This study explored the impact of the meteorological factors air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed on teams' technical performance during the Union of European Football Associations Champions League (UCL). Technical match statistics were collected for five seasons (2016/2017-2020/2021). Thirty-one technical actions and events were categorized into three groups (goal scoring, offense, and defence). Meteorological data were collected from the official UEFA website (air temperature (°C): 11.59 ± 6.87, relative humidity (%): 71.40 ± 17.82, wind speed (km/h): 11.52 ± 7.02). LASSO regression analysis was employed to identify important indicators that affect match outcomes, while separate Poisson regression models were used in generalized linear modelling to determine the effects of meteorological factors on key technical performance indicators. The results revealed that offensive variables were instrumental in distinguishing match outcomes (winning, drawing, and losing), with meteorological factors significantly influencing these variables. Notably, "shot from counter attack" was the most significantly affected variable, being exclusively influenced by air temperature (OR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.98). Two technical indicators, "dribbles won" and "shots from the 6-yard box," were both significantly influenced by two meteorological factors. "Cards per foul," an understudied variable, displayed a close association with all the three meteorological factors. These findings offer valuable insights for coaches and analysts in comprehending the influence of meteorological conditions on crucial technical variables during the performance evaluation of teams. Moreover, they provide valuable information to help coaches devise appropriate tactics for players before or during a match, considering the potential changes in meteorological conditions.

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气象因素对足球队比赛期间技术表现的影响。
本研究探讨了欧洲足球协会联盟冠军联赛(UCL)期间气温、相对湿度和风速等气象因素对球队技术表现的影响。研究收集了五个赛季(2016/2017-2020/2021)的技术比赛统计数据。31 个技术动作和事件被分为三组(进球、进攻和防守)。气象数据来自欧足联官方网站(气温(°C):11.59 ± 6.87,相对湿度(%):71.40 ± 17.82,风速(公里/小时):11.52 ± 7.02):11.52 ± 7.02).采用 LASSO 回归分析来确定影响比赛结果的重要指标,同时在广义线性建模中使用单独的泊松回归模型来确定气象因素对关键技术性能指标的影响。结果显示,进攻变量在区分比赛结果(胜、平、负)方面起着重要作用,而气象因素对这些变量有显著影响。值得注意的是,"反击射门 "是受影响最明显的变量,完全受气温影响(OR = 0.55,95% CI:0.30 至 0.98)。两个技术指标,即 "运球获胜 "和 "6 码区射门",都受到两个气象因素的显著影响。"每次犯规得牌 "是一个未被充分研究的变量,它与所有三个气象因素都有密切联系。这些研究结果为教练和分析人员提供了宝贵的见解,帮助他们理解气象条件对球队表现评估中关键技术变量的影响。此外,考虑到气象条件的潜在变化,这些发现还为教练员在赛前或比赛期间为球员制定适当战术提供了宝贵信息。
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来源期刊
Biology of Sport
Biology of Sport 生物-运动科学
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
12.50%
发文量
113
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Biology of Sport is the official journal of the Institute of Sport in Warsaw, Poland, published since 1984. Biology of Sport is an international scientific peer-reviewed journal, published quarterly in both paper and electronic format. The journal publishes articles concerning basic and applied sciences in sport: sports and exercise physiology, sports immunology and medicine, sports genetics, training and testing, pharmacology, as well as in other biological aspects related to sport. Priority is given to inter-disciplinary papers.
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