Prognostic performance of the Bova, sPESI, and Qanadli scores in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

Abstract

Background: Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a disease with a serious prognosis and a high probability of death in the emergency department.

Purpose: To investigate the prediction of PE-related mortality and intensive care admission (ICU) of Qanadli (Qscore), Bova, and simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) scores.

Material and methods: This retrospective observational study consisted of all patients diagnosed with acute PE who were imaged under computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) for a total of 5 years between 1 June 2018 and 1 June 2023. The prediction of radiological and clinical scores for mortality and ICU admission was examined.

Results: A total of 95 patients were analyzed. Patients who died and those who were admitted to the ICU had a significantly higher frequency of being found to have a high-risk (≥1) sPESI score (P = 0.04 and P = 0.016, respectively). For mortality, the sPESI score was found to be significant; the sensitivity and specificity were observed as 54% and 66% (area under the curve [AUC]=0.670, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.527-0.814; P = 0.020). For ICU admission, the sensitivity and specificity of the Qscore, sPESI, and Bova scores were 35%, 77%, and 58%, and 78%, 65%, and 84% respectively (AUC=0.626, 95% CI=0.511-0.740, P = 0.031; AUC=0.769, 95% CI=0.674-0.865, P < 0.001; and AUC=0.767, 95% CI=0.671-0.862, P < 0.001, respectively).

Conclusion: It was found that the sPESI score was effective at predicting mortality in patients with acute PE. Qscore, sPESI, and Bova scores have been shown to be useful in predicting ICU admission.