{"title":"On the spectral density of fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes","authors":"Shuping Shi , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105872","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper introduces a novel and easy-to-implement method for accurately approximating the spectral density of discretely sampled fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (fOU) processes. The method offers a substantial reduction in approximation error, particularly within the rough region of the fractional parameter <span><math><mrow><mi>H</mi><mo>∈</mo><mrow><mo>(</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>,</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>5</mn><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span>. This approximate spectral density has the potential to enhance the performance of estimation methods and hypothesis testing that make use of spectral densities. We introduce the approximate Whittle maximum likelihood (AWML) method for discretely sampled fOU processes, utilizing the approximate spectral density, and demonstrate that the AWML estimator exhibits properties of consistency and asymptotic normality when <span><math><mrow><mi>H</mi><mo>∈</mo><mrow><mo>(</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>,</mo><mn>1</mn><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span>, akin to the conventional Whittle maximum likelihood method. Through extensive simulation studies, we show that AWML outperforms existing methods in terms of estimation accuracy in finite samples. We then apply the AWML method to the trading volume of 40 financial assets. Our empirical findings reveal that the estimated Hurst parameters for these assets fall within the range of 0.10 to 0.21, indicating a rough dynamic.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15629,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Econometrics","volume":"245 1","pages":"Article 105872"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Econometrics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407624002173","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper introduces a novel and easy-to-implement method for accurately approximating the spectral density of discretely sampled fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (fOU) processes. The method offers a substantial reduction in approximation error, particularly within the rough region of the fractional parameter . This approximate spectral density has the potential to enhance the performance of estimation methods and hypothesis testing that make use of spectral densities. We introduce the approximate Whittle maximum likelihood (AWML) method for discretely sampled fOU processes, utilizing the approximate spectral density, and demonstrate that the AWML estimator exhibits properties of consistency and asymptotic normality when , akin to the conventional Whittle maximum likelihood method. Through extensive simulation studies, we show that AWML outperforms existing methods in terms of estimation accuracy in finite samples. We then apply the AWML method to the trading volume of 40 financial assets. Our empirical findings reveal that the estimated Hurst parameters for these assets fall within the range of 0.10 to 0.21, indicating a rough dynamic.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.