Strategic foresight as a beacon for the new EU industrial policy

IF 1.4 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW European Law Journal Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI:10.1111/eulj.12521
Dimitri Lorenzani
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Abstract

This article assesses the impact of strategic foresight in shaping the European Commission’s new industrial policy. It argues that, since it was introduced by President von der Leyen as a political portfolio, foresight has contributed to mainstreaming the concepts of ‘resilience’ and ‘open strategic autonomy’ into the EU's industrial strategy, via the Strategic Foresight Reports and new participatory structures inside and outside the Commission. This responded to the need for building up preparedness in the face of ‘radical uncertainty’ on future supply chain disruptions. We conclude that strategic foresight—if supported by an effective governance—will play an increasingly large role in shaping the EU's future policymaking. In particular, the concepts of ‘competitive sustainability’ and people's wellbeing, advanced by the 2023 Strategic Foresight Report as pillars of open strategic autonomy, may help futureproof the EU's green industrial policy going forward.

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作为欧盟新工业政策灯塔的战略展望
本文评估了战略展望对欧盟委员会新工业政策的影响。文章认为,自从冯德莱恩主席将展望作为一项政治任务引入欧盟以来,展望通过战略展望报告和欧盟委员会内外新的参与式结构,促进了 "复原力 "和 "开放式战略自主权 "概念在欧盟工业战略中的主流化。这样做是为了满足在面对未来供应链中断的 "极端不确定性 "时做好准备的需要。我们的结论是,战略前瞻--如果得到有效管理的支持--将在欧盟未来决策中发挥越来越大的作用。特别是《2023 年战略前瞻报告》提出的 "竞争可持续性 "和人民福祉的概念,作为开放式战略自主权的支柱,可能有助于欧盟未来的绿色工业政策。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
21.10%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The European Law Journal represents an authoritative new approach to the study of European Law, developed specifically to express and develop the study and understanding of European law in its social, cultural, political and economic context. It has a highly reputed board of editors. The journal fills a major gap in the current literature on all issues of European law, and is essential reading for anyone studying or practising EU law and its diverse impact on the environment, national legal systems, local government, economic organizations, and European citizens. As well as focusing on the European Union, the journal also examines the national legal systems of countries in Western, Central and Eastern Europe and relations between Europe and other parts of the world, particularly the United States, Japan, China, India, Mercosur and developing countries. The journal is published in English but is dedicated to publishing native language articles and has a dedicated translation fund available for this purpose. It is a refereed journal.
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