The ESPAS network and the growth of EU foresight

IF 1.4 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW European Law Journal Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI:10.1111/eulj.12525
Eamonn Noonan
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Abstract

This article examines the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) network and assesses its impact on efforts to embed strategic foresight in EU policy-making. It analyses the development of the network through three stages: preparatory steps to 2014, quasi-institutionalisation from 2015 and high-level anchoring from 2019. Throughout, the view that a new approach to strategic analysis was needed met concerns about preserving institutional prerogatives and competences. The article suggests that this tension mitigated the network's impact, which has been more significant on matters of process than of substance. Achievements include the creation of foresight capacity and of dialogue across institutional and sectoral boundaries and greater appreciation of the interdependence of global challenges across different domains. Progress towards deeper engagement with worst-case scenarios and with the challenge of societal fragmentation has been more limited.

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ESPAS 网络与欧盟展望的发展
本文探讨了欧洲战略与政策分析系统(ESPAS)网络,并评估了该网络对将战略前瞻纳入欧盟决策的影响。文章通过三个阶段分析了该网络的发展情况:2014 年之前的准备步骤、2015 年开始的准制度化以及 2019 年开始的高层锚定。自始至终,人们都认为需要一种新的战略分析方法,但同时又担心维护机构的特权和权限。文章认为,这种紧张关系减轻了网络的影响,网络在程序问题上的影响大于实质问题。所取得的成就包括:提高了展望能力,开展了跨机构和跨部门的对话,对不同领域的全球挑战的相互依存性有了更深刻的认识。在更深入地参与最坏情况的预测和应对社会分化的挑战方面,进展较为有限。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
21.10%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The European Law Journal represents an authoritative new approach to the study of European Law, developed specifically to express and develop the study and understanding of European law in its social, cultural, political and economic context. It has a highly reputed board of editors. The journal fills a major gap in the current literature on all issues of European law, and is essential reading for anyone studying or practising EU law and its diverse impact on the environment, national legal systems, local government, economic organizations, and European citizens. As well as focusing on the European Union, the journal also examines the national legal systems of countries in Western, Central and Eastern Europe and relations between Europe and other parts of the world, particularly the United States, Japan, China, India, Mercosur and developing countries. The journal is published in English but is dedicated to publishing native language articles and has a dedicated translation fund available for this purpose. It is a refereed journal.
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