Predictive building energy management with user feedback in the loop

Abstract

Retrofitting buildings with predictive control strategies can reduce their energy demand and improve thermal comfort by considering their thermal inertia and future weather conditions. A key challenge is minimizing additional infrastructure, such as sensors and actuators, while ensuring user comfort at all times. This study focuses on retrofitting with intelligent software, incorporating the users’ feedback directly into the control loop. We propose a predictive control strategy using an optimization-based energy management system (EMS) to control thermal zones in an office building. It uses a physically motivated grey-box model to predict and adjust thermal demand, with individual zones modelled using an RC-approach and parameter estimation handled by an unscented Kalman filter (UKF). This reduces deployment effort as the parameters are learned from historical data. The objective function ensures user comfort, penalizes undesirable behaviour and minimizes heating and cooling costs. An internal comfort model, automatically calibrated with user feedback by another UKF, further improves system performance. The practical case study is an office building at the ”Innovation District Inffeld”. Operation of the system for one year yielded significant results compared to conventional control. Thermal comfort was improved by 12% and thermal energy consumption for heating and cooling was reduced by about 35%.