Quantitative study on the water vapor transport characteristics of an extreme precipitation event in North China

Abstract

North China experienced an extreme precipitation event from July 29 to August 1, 2023 (i.e., the “23.7” event) causing severe floods, significant infrastructure damage and multiple fatalities. To enhance comprehension of the mechanism behind the extreme precipitation of the “23.7” event, water vapor transport paths and sources were determined, and water vapor contribution of each source was quantitatively evaluated based on Lagrangian methods. Results showed that the extreme precipitation of the “23.7” event was closely related to large-scale water vapor transport and convergence from low-latitude oceans. There were five main water vapor sources which corresponded to five transport pathways. Path 1 was derived from tropical West Pacific, containing the most trajectories (195), carrying the most water vapor (69.3%) and contributing the most to the extreme precipitation of the “23.7” event (45.7%). Path 2 was guided by the cross-equatorial flow through South China Sea, contributing to 10.1% of the precipitation. Path 3 originating from eastern tropical Indian Ocean and Path 4 from the west source near the Caspian Sea contributed less to the precipitation. Last but not the least, water vapor evaporation from eastern China contributed more than 30% to the extreme precipitation, making this region another important water vapor source.