Climate-associated variation in the within-season dynamics of juvenile ticks in California

Abstract

Changing climate has driven shifts in species phenology, influencing a range of ecological interactions from plant–pollinator to consumer–resource. Phenological changes in host–parasite systems have implications for pathogen transmission dynamics. The seasonal timing, or phenology, of peak larval and nymphal tick abundance is an important driver of tick-borne pathogen prevalence through its effect on cohort-to-cohort transmission. Tick phenology is tightly linked to climatic factors such as temperature and humidity. Thus, variation in climate within and across regions could lead to differences in phenological patterns. These differences may explain regional variation in tick-borne pathogen prevalence of the Lyme disease-causing Borrelia bacteria in vector populations in the United States. For example, one factor thought to contribute to high Lyme disease prevalence in ticks in the eastern United States is the asynchronous phenology of ticks there, where potentially infected nymphal ticks emerge earlier in the season than uninfected larval ticks. This allows the infected nymphal ticks to transmit the pathogen to hosts that are subsequently fed upon by the next generation of larval ticks. In contrast, in the western United States where Lyme disease prevalence is generally much lower, tick phenology is thought to be more synchronous with uninfected larvae emerging slightly before, or at the same time as, potentially infected nymphs, reducing horizontal transmission potential. Sampling larval and nymphal ticks, and their host-feeding phenology, both across large spatial gradients and through time, is challenging, which hampers attempts to conduct detailed studies of phenology to link it with pathogen prevalence. In this study, we demonstrate through intensive within-season sampling that the relative abundance and seasonality of larval and nymphal ticks are highly variable along a latitudinal gradient and likely reflect the variable climate in the far western United States with potential consequences for pathogen transmission. We find that feeding patterns were variable and synchronous feeding of juvenile ticks on key blood meal hosts was associated with mean temperature. By characterizing within-season phenological patterns of the Lyme disease vector throughout a climatically heterogeneous region, we can begin to identify areas with high potential for tick-borne disease risk and underlying mechanisms at a finer scale.