Optimal control of vaccination for an epidemic model with standard incidence rate

IF 1.9 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Journal of Theoretical Biology Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI:10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111993
Li Li , Na Zheng , Chen Liu , Zhen Wang , Zhen Jin
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Abstract

A critical challenge for diseases spread is the development of effective prevention and control measures while minimizing costs, representing the foremost priority. Unfortunately, research in this crucial area remains inadequately explored. Consequently, this paper addresses the issue by leveraging an SI reaction–diffusion epidemic model incorporating a logistic birth rate and standard incidence rate. Employing vaccination as a control variable and integrating sparse optimal control theory, the study elucidates the achievement of epidemic prevention and control through the optimization of resource allocation, emphasizing a perspective rooted in pattern structure transformation. On the one hand, we theoretically prove the existence of the optimal solutions, first-order necessary optimality conditions, and the sparsity properties. On the other hand, we use numerical simulations to verify the rationality of the control method and the effectiveness of the control strategy from three aspects of control effect, control error and control cost. In addition, tailored targeting options are proposed based on the economic status of each region, specifying the required inoculum amount for each moment. Ultimately, the study demonstrates the effectiveness of input vaccination in controlling epidemics in a majority of areas. In summary, this work offers crucial insights into the prevention and control of a non-quasimonotonic reaction–diffusion epidemic model.
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具有标准发病率的流行病模型的疫苗接种最优控制。
疾病传播面临的一个严峻挑战是制定有效的预防和控制措施,同时最大限度地降低成本,这也是重中之重。遗憾的是,对这一关键领域的研究仍然不够深入。因此,本文利用包含逻辑出生率和标准发病率的 SI 反应扩散流行病模型来解决这一问题。研究以疫苗接种为控制变量,结合稀疏最优控制理论,通过优化资源配置来实现疫情防控,强调从模式结构转换的角度出发。一方面,我们从理论上证明了最优解的存在性、一阶必要最优条件和稀疏性。另一方面,我们利用数值模拟从控制效果、控制误差和控制成本三个方面验证了控制方法的合理性和控制策略的有效性。此外,还根据各地区的经济状况提出了有针对性的目标选择方案,规定了每个时刻所需的接种量。最终,该研究证明了投入式疫苗接种在大多数地区控制流行病的有效性。总之,这项工作为预防和控制非类比反应-扩散流行病模型提供了重要见解。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
5.00%
发文量
218
审稿时长
51 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Theoretical Biology is the leading forum for theoretical perspectives that give insight into biological processes. It covers a very wide range of topics and is of interest to biologists in many areas of research, including: • Brain and Neuroscience • Cancer Growth and Treatment • Cell Biology • Developmental Biology • Ecology • Evolution • Immunology, • Infectious and non-infectious Diseases, • Mathematical, Computational, Biophysical and Statistical Modeling • Microbiology, Molecular Biology, and Biochemistry • Networks and Complex Systems • Physiology • Pharmacodynamics • Animal Behavior and Game Theory Acceptable papers are those that bear significant importance on the biology per se being presented, and not on the mathematical analysis. Papers that include some data or experimental material bearing on theory will be considered, including those that contain comparative study, statistical data analysis, mathematical proof, computer simulations, experiments, field observations, or even philosophical arguments, which are all methods to support or reject theoretical ideas. However, there should be a concerted effort to make papers intelligible to biologists in the chosen field.
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